Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Pontus Holmberg

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Pontus Holmberg

Tampa Bay Lightning Right Wing #29

The 92nd percentile from the third line, and 46 goals for against 28.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23TOR3758130181022718.510:25
2023-24TOR5471017+11180015413.011:34
2024-25TOR6871219+4270106810.312:40
2025-26TBL70111122+1310029012.213:21
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—229304171+169411523912.612:15

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 11 assists in 70 games — 22 points, plus-1, at 13:21 a night with 31 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

144 unblocked attempts, 10 goals, median 23 feet with 47 per cent from inside 20. 71 points in 229 career games.

11 assists in 70 games is thin. This is not an offensive player and the club is not confused about it.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 201, and solidly built. 31 penalty minutes.

He is a positional defensive forward — good on draws, good on the kill, reliable in his own end — and there is nothing about the physical game that stands out in either direction.

The Intangibles

54.7 per cent of the expected goals, 86th percentile, and 54.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 87th, across 900 minutes, with the chances 36.1 to 29.9 in his favour and the goals 31 for and 32 against.

That 6-goal chance edge from a 13-minute role is among the better ones in this edition. The goals came out 7 short of it, which on a club that finished 18 above its chances as a team makes his the line the finishing did not reach.

4 points in his last 10, 2 of them goals. He is 27, a 156th overall pick that Toronto let walk, and one of 4 Tampa forwards above the 88th percentile in chance share. 22 points does not begin to describe the season.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 900 minutes

Expected goals
54.7%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.3%
88th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 32 against. Expected: 36.1 and 29.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
86th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 70 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
82nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.40 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.28 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.9 mph
50th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 2 assists, 18 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 900 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.7% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 900 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Yanni Gourde54.0%58.6%45.0%
Zemgus Girgensons55.2%53.0%33.6%
J.J. Moser55.7%54.0%55.5%

54.0% together, 58.6% for him apart and 45.0% for Gourde apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Gourde behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

144 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.