Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Pavel Buchnevich

Photo by Shayypy, CC BY-SA 4.0

Pavel Buchnevich

St. Louis Blues Left Wing #89

674 games, 506 points, and 45 per cent of his shots from the slot.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17NYR4181220+6131005514.513:16
2017-18NYR74142943-32050413610.315:01
2018-19NYR64211738-101370111917.615:10
2019-20NYR68163046+22440114810.816:56
2020-21NYR54202848+124213212016.718:44
2021-22STL73304676+293482319915.118:18
2022-23STL63264167+143680212321.119:27
2023-24STL80273663+34882520713.019:49
2024-25STL76203757+102320314513.819:02
2025-26STL81202848-102640414214.117:56
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—674202304506+5327948725139414.517:34

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 28 assists in 81 games — 48 points, minus-10, at 17:56 a night with 4 power-play goals. His 674th career game and his 506th point.

The Finesse Game

Skilled in a way that has never quite been fashionable — he is deceptive with the puck, patient under pressure, and the release is disguised.

215 unblocked attempts, 20 goals, median 22 feet with 45 per cent from inside 20 and only 19 per cent from beyond 40. That is very good ice for a winger of his type.

202 goals and 304 assists in 674 games.

The Physical Game

6-1, 196, and he takes the punishment that comes with working the slot without dishing much out. 26 penalty minutes.

The skating is fine and the compete has been questioned more than once across 2 organisations, usually by people watching him coast through a neutral zone he had no intention of entering.

The Intangibles

51.4 per cent of the expected goals, 67th percentile, and 49.7 per cent of the shot attempts, 54th, across 1,080 minutes, with the chances 47.2 to 44.6 in his favour.

8 points in his last 10, 5 of them goals.

He is 31, a third-round pick, and on a club that has turned over almost entirely since 2019 he is the veteran scorer the young wingers are being measured against. 20 goals and 48 points is a fair season and about 10 points short of what he was signed for.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,080 minutes

Expected goals
51.4%
67th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.7%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 48 against. Expected: 47.2 and 44.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
82nd
Numbers
67th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
21st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.78 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.90 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.9 mph
76th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 3 assists, 16 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1080 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
STL took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.4% — 1.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,080 minutes at five-on-five — 69th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Colton Parayko53.0%50.3%50.7%
Philip Broberg51.9%51.1%51.5%
Cam Fowler47.8%53.3%49.6%

53.0% together, 50.3% for him apart and 50.7% for Parayko apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

215 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.