Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

52

Noel Acciari

St. Louis Blues Center

A 20.4 mph top speed and a 77.3 mph shot across twenty games — both beneath anything the qualified pool contains.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16BOS19011-48000180.09:54
2016-17BOS29235+316000248.310:22
2017-18BOS6010111-690106615.212:55
2018-19BOS726814-347002996.112:59
2019-20FLA6620727+22101510818.515:58
2020-21FLA41471109101685.915:24
2021-22FLA20358+211001329.411:59
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—307453277-612112941510.813:26

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 games for Florida, 3 goals and 5 assists at 11:59 a night, plus-2, eleven penalty minutes, 32 shots. Undrafted, and 307 NHL games and seventy-seven points across seven seasons out of it.

Two hundred and fourteen minutes of five-on-five ice is less than half the five hundred this book requires before it will place a man in the league distribution, so what follows is described rather than ranked.

The Finesse Game

Fifty-eight per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 16-foot median, at 5-11 and 204 pounds.

Only Logan Brown shoots from closer on this roster and only nine per cent of Acciari’s attempts came from beyond forty feet.

54.9 per cent of the expected goals across 214 five-on-five minutes, which needs its context: Florida finished 1st in the league in attempt share, 1st in chances and 1st in the standings. A depth forward’s share on that club is a description of the club.

He started 51.9 per cent of his end-zone shifts in the attacking end — sixty-eight against sixty-three.

His ice went 10-8 against an expectation of 10.48-8.61, which is close to level in both directions on eighteen goals.

The Physical Game

Eleven penalty minutes in twenty games, and 121 across a 307-game career.

5-11 and 204 pounds, and the hitting is what has kept him in the league.

The Intangibles

He was measured at 20.4 mph across twenty games. The slowest qualified forward in the league — Kevin Hayes of Philadelphia — reached 20.7, and only four qualified skaters of any position were measured below 20.5. Twenty games is not a comparable sample and the figure is quoted only to say how far beneath the pool it sits.

His shot is 77.3 mph. The softest measured among all 557 qualified skaters is 77.4, so on twenty games he shot softer than any qualified man in the league.

0.1 bursts a game and 1.95 miles a game. Every skating and shooting measurement in his file is at or beyond the bottom of the league distribution, and every one of them is drawn from a quarter-season.

He is 30, undrafted, with seventy-seven points in 307 games. Seven seasons, the net front and the checking are the case. A 20.4 mph top speed and a 77.3 mph shot, even on twenty games, are numbers no other forward in this book produces, and they are why he is a fourth-line centre.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, and 307 NHL games and seventy-seven points across seven seasons out of it.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Fifty-eight per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 16-foot median, at 5-11 and 204 pounds.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 214 minutes

Expected goals
54.9%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.6%
90th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 8 against. Expected: 10.5 and 8.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
33rd
Numbers
86th

The numbers rank him 53 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 20 games

Top speed
20.4 mph
5th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.15 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
77.3 mph
15th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with FLA · 214 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
FLA took 56.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.9% — 1.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
214 minutes at five-on-five — 2nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Patric Hornqvist61.2%50.4%58.7%
MacKenzie Weegar60.0%51.8%57.9%
Ryan Lomberg57.8%53.1%56.1%

61.2% together, 50.4% for him apart and 58.7% for Hornqvist apart. He was worse away from Hornqvist, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Hornqvist did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

45 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 58% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.