This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Nikolaj Ehlers
Winnipeg Jets Left Wing
Three hundred and twenty-six attempts at 168 pounds, and the highest chance share of any forward on the club.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | WPG | 72 | 15 | 23 | 38 | +3 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 9.0 | 16:06 |
| 2016-17 | WPG | 82 | 25 | 39 | 64 | +1 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 204 | 12.3 | 17:29 |
| 2017-18 | WPG | 82 | 29 | 31 | 60 | +14 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 231 | 12.6 | 16:05 |
| 2018-19 | WPG | 62 | 21 | 16 | 37 | +2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 158 | 13.3 | 15:46 |
| 2019-20 | WPG | 71 | 25 | 33 | 58 | +14 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 203 | 12.3 | 16:31 |
| 2020-21 | WPG | 47 | 21 | 25 | 46 | +15 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 148 | 14.2 | 16:55 |
| 2021-22 | WPG | 62 | 28 | 27 | 55 | +18 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 245 | 11.4 | 18:04 |
| 2022-23 | WPG | 45 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 9.1 | 15:39 |
| 2023-24 | WPG | 82 | 25 | 36 | 61 | +27 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 233 | 10.7 | 15:52 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 605 | 201 | 256 | 457 | +92 | 205 | 34 | 1 | 34 | 1721 | 11.7 | 16:30 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
82 games, 25 goals and 36 assists for 61 points, 29 penalty minutes, 15:52 a night and plus-27, with 7 game-winners. He took 56.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,093 minutes — the 93rd percentile and the highest share of any forward on this club — and his ice went 62-33 against an expectation of 53.44-41.65.
Nine goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and nine goals of goaltending above them. Sixty-two goals for and 33 against in 1,093 minutes at fifteen and a half minutes a night is the best ledger of any forward on the club.
The Finesse Game
326 attempts at a median of 34 feet with 19 per cent of them from inside twenty and 32 per cent from beyond forty, 221 of those on goal, converted at 10.7 per cent against a career 11.68 across 1,721 shots.
201 career goals and 256 assists in 605 games. Three hundred and twenty-six attempts is the most on this club and he took them from a thirty-four-foot median, which is a winger who shoots on the way to the net rather than after arriving; he scored no power-play goals at all last season.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 168 — the lightest man on this roster — and took 29 penalty minutes.
205 career penalty minutes in 605 games. At 168 pounds there is no physical game available to him and he does not attempt one; the puck is won with speed and given up the moment a defenceman arrives.
The Intangibles
Ninth overall in 2014 by Winnipeg, nine seasons, one organisation, and 457 points in 605 games.
A career plus-92 in 605 games — the largest figure on this roster. He is 28, he played all 82 games for the first time since 2017-18, and he has scored twenty-one or more in seven of his nine seasons.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,093 minutes
- Expected goals
- 56.2%
- 93rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 54.7%
- 88th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 62 for, 33 against. Expected: 53.4 and 41.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1093 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.2% — 4.2 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 1,093 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Morrissey | 61.1% | 52.3% | 51.6% |
| Mark Scheifele | 58.5% | 54.6% | 44.6% |
| Dylan DeMelo | 62.9% | 52.2% | 49.3% |
61.1% together, 52.3% for him apart and 51.6% for Morrissey apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
326 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 19% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.