Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

6

Joel Edmundson

Los Angeles Kings Defense

Six foot five, 461 career penalty minutes, and a chance share in the bottom third of the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16STL67189063000901.114:56
2016-17STL6931215+1160001813.717:46
2017-18STL6971017-1570001245.720:44
2018-19STL642911+8680011022.019:23
2019-20CAR6871320+772000977.218:27
2020-21MTL5531013+2825000773.920:03
2021-22MTL24336-135000329.419:35
2022-23MTL6121113-2958000692.919:34
2023-24WSH/TOR53156-223000462.216:40
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—5302981110+214610027184.018:30

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

53 games between Washington and Toronto, 1 goal and 5 assists for 6 points, 23 penalty minutes, 16:40 a night and minus-2. He took 47.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 790 minutes, the 33rd percentile, and his ice went 32-33 against an expectation of 29.97-33.56.

Two goals of finishing above expectation on his ice and one fewer conceded than the chances called for. The results were better than the play, and the play was in the bottom third of the league.

The Finesse Game

46 shots at a median of 54 feet with 77 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 2.2 per cent against a career 4.0.

81 career assists in 530 games. There is no puck-moving to speak of and there is no shot. He gets it off the wall and out, and when he is pressured he puts it off the glass.

The Physical Game

He is 6-5 and 220 and hits as hard as anybody on this roster, and 461 career penalty minutes in 530 games is what a decade of it costs.

He will fight, he clears the crease, and nobody moves him from the front of it. He blocks shots and he kills penalties, and the stick comes out when he has been beaten wide.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2011 out of Brandon, Manitoba, nine seasons across five organisations, and 110 points in 530 games. He has a Stanley Cup from St. Louis in 2019.

He is 31 and has played 24, 61 and 53 games in the last three seasons. The size and the ring are what is being bought and the chance share is what comes with them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-5 and 220 and hits as hard as anybody on this roster, and 461 career penalty minutes in 530 games is what a decade of it costs.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He will fight, he clears the crease, and nobody moves him from the front of it.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He will fight, he clears the crease, and nobody moves him from the front of it.”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He will fight, he clears the crease, and nobody moves him from the front of it.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and he kills penalties, and the stick comes out when he has been beaten wide.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He blocks shots and he kills penalties, and the stick comes out when he has been beaten wide.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He blocks shots and he kills penalties, and the stick comes out when he has been beaten wide.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “There is no puck-moving to speak of and there is no shot.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 790 minutes

Expected goals
47.2%
33rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.6%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 33 against. Expected: 30.0 and 33.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
33rd

The numbers rank him 22 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 53 games

Top speed
21.4 mph
39th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.32 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.28 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.2 mph
87th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with WSH · 658 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.2% — 4.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
790 minutes at five-on-five — 38th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Jensen46.6%47.6%44.5%
Dylan Strome51.6%45.7%54.7%
Alex Ovechkin38.8%49.6%47.6%

46.6% together, 47.6% for him apart and 44.5% for Jensen apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

70 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 56 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 77% from beyond forty.