This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Nico Hischier
New Jersey Devils Center
The best chance share on the club that led the league in chances, taken from the wrong end of the rink.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | NJD | 82 | 20 | 32 | 52 | +10 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 180 | 11.1 | 16:19 |
| 2018-19 | NJD | 69 | 17 | 30 | 47 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 160 | 10.6 | 18:06 |
| 2019-20 | NJD | 58 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 123 | 11.4 | 18:04 |
| 2020-21 | NJD | 21 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 13.6 | 18:31 |
| 2021-22 | NJD | 70 | 21 | 39 | 60 | -1 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 153 | 13.7 | 19:21 |
| 2022-23 | NJD | 81 | 31 | 49 | 80 | +33 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 256 | 12.1 | 19:17 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 381 | 109 | 177 | 286 | +17 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 916 | 11.9 | 18:13 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
31 goals and 49 assists in 81 games — 80 points — at 19:17 a night. Plus-33, the best figure on the club, with 256 shots at 12.1 per cent, three shorthanded goals and nine game-winners.
59.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 97th percentile and the highest of any Devil, with his ice at 61-39 against an expectation of 59.29-40.44 — which is to say the goals arrived where the chances said they would.
And the deployment behind it runs the other way from his team-mates’. He started 47.6 per cent of his five-on-five shifts in the attacking zone, the 35th percentile: 373 attacking draws against 411 in his own end.
Set that beside Jack Hughes at the 98th percentile and a 57.9 per cent share. New Jersey’s two centres were given opposite ends of the rink, and the one who began in his own came back with the better number. That is the most useful fact in this chapter.
Six seasons, 381 games, 286 points, all of them here.
The Finesse Game
256 shots at a median of 21 feet, 135 of them on goal from inside twenty.
19 goals from inside twenty on 135 shots, 14.07 per cent, against a league forward rate of 17.71; 7 from twenty to forty on 80.
So the 31 goals are a volume result rather than a finishing one, and the rate says a slightly below-average converter taking an above-average number of chances from the right places.
48 tip-ins out of 342 tracked attempts — 14 per cent, and the highest count on the club by a distance. That is a specific skill and not a small one: it is the shot a man gets by standing where he will be hit, and it is the same instinct that produces three shorthanded goals.
130 wrist shots, 100 snap, 12 slap. 88.1 mph at the 31st percentile, on twelve slap shots, so there is nothing in it to read.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 200, with ten penalty minutes in eighty-one games.
Top speed 22.6 mph, the 68th percentile; 1.9 bursts a game, the 84th; 2.82 miles a game, the 68th. An entirely ordinary set of readings for a first-line centre, which is the point — none of what he does well shows up in the tracking.
He kills penalties, takes the hit to make the play, and is on the ice at the end of games this club is trying to protect. Nine game-winners is the counting shadow of that, and the plus-33 is the rest of it.
The part this book cannot see is the faceoff circle, because the record counts every skater on the ice at a draw and never who took it. What it can see is that his shifts began in his own end more often than in the other team’s, which is the deployment a coach gives the man he trusts.
The Intangibles
First overall in 2017, the captaincy since 2021, and 381 games without ever having played for another organisation.
He has been the second-most-discussed centre on his own team for two seasons and has the better underlying record of the two. Both of those things are true at once.
At twenty-four, with 286 points and a plus-33 taken from harder zone starts than any other forward in this club’s top six, he is a large part of why a club that led the league in chance generation also finished seventh in chances against.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live
6 of his 31 goals late or in overtime, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it
- disciplined· stays out of the box
0.12 penalty minutes a game over 81, 9th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
- durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“First overall in 2017, the captaincy since 2021, and 381 games without ever having played for another organisation.”
“That is a specific skill and not a small one: it is the shot a man gets by standing where he will be hit, and it is the same instinct that produces three shorthanded goals.”
“He kills penalties, takes the hit to make the play, and is on the ice at the end of games this club is trying to protect.”
“What it can see is that his shifts began in his own end more often than in the other team's, which is the deployment a coach gives the man he trusts.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,085 minutes
- Expected goals
- 59.4%
- 97th pct
- Shot attempts
- 55.1%
- 90th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 39 against. Expected: 59.3 and 40.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 81 games
- Top speed
- 22.6 mph
- 73rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.94 a game
- Distance
- 2.82 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 88.1 mph
- 55th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 1085 minutes at five-on-five
- Jesper Bratt40%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- NJD took 56.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 59.4% — 3.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,085 minutes at five-on-five — 68th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Tatar | 64.2% | 52.8% | 59.0% |
| Jesper Bratt | 57.2% | 61.2% | 59.5% |
| Ryan Graves | 57.2% | 61.0% | 51.9% |
64.2% together, 52.8% for him apart and 59.0% for Tatar apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
339 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.