Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

30

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues Goaltender

Six-foot-five, eight NHL games in two seasons, and a .9050 in six of them.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2021-22STL211063.07050.880
2022-23STL6311173.220179.905
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—8421233.180229.900

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3-1-1 in 6 games, .9050, 3.22, no shutouts on 179 shots.

29.8 shots a night across six appearances, which is a fortnight of a starter’s work.

Two seasons, 8 games, a career .8996 on 229 shots.

The Finesse Game

6-5 and 193 pounds, which is tall and very light, and the game is built on the height: he takes the top of the net away standing up and challenges very little.

He plays deep and lets the shot come, which at 6-5 is the efficient choice and makes the second save the question, as it always is with a goaltender who covers the net by size rather than by movement.

The puck-handling is competent rather than a weapon.

Two NHL seasons read .8800 on 50 shots and .9050 on 179. Two hundred and twenty-nine career shots is not a record and nothing in this file should be read as one.

What can be said is that he is twenty-three, the club drafted him in the fourth round, and the starter in front of him is thirty and declining. The opportunity is the most concrete thing here.

The Intangibles

A hundred and seventh overall in 2018, the fourth round, two seasons, eight games, all of them here.

He is twenty-three, which for a goaltender is barely started, and he has spent both of those seasons in the American league with a handful of call-ups.

On a club that has begun a rebuild and has a declining starter on a long contract, the arithmetic points one way. Whether the record supports it is a question for the next two seasons and not this one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “He plays deep and lets the shot come, which at 6-5 is the efficient choice and makes the second save the question, as it always is with a goaltender who covers the net by size rather than by movement.”

  • puck-handlinga strength· starts the breakout himself

    “The puck-handling is competent rather than a weapon.”