This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Brayden Point

42 goals on 189 shots — a 22.2 per cent conversion, the highest of any volume shooter in this edition.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	TBL	68	18	22	40	+4	14	5	0	2	122	14.8	17:08
2017-18	TBL	82	32	34	66	+18	24	5	3	12	217	14.8	19:37
2018-19	TBL	79	41	51	92	+27	28	20	0	7	191	21.5	18:55
2019-20	TBL	66	25	39	64	+28	11	8	0	4	141	17.7	18:54
2020-21	TBL	56	23	25	48	+2	11	6	0	6	131	17.6	18:26
2021-22	TBL	66	28	30	58	-5	33	10	0	4	176	15.9	19:28
2022-23	TBL	82	51	44	95	+2	7	20	0	9	235	21.7	19:40
2023-24	TBL	81	46	44	90	-16	14	15	0	12	227	20.3	20:02
2024-25	TBL	77	42	40	82	+17	7	16	0	7	189	22.2	19:29
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	657	306	329	635	+77	149	105	3	63	1629	18.8	19:08

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

42 goals and 40 assists in 77 games — 82 points at 19:29 a night, plus-17, with 16 power-play goals and 7 game-winners on 189 shots, and only 7 penalty minutes.

51.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 51st percentile. His ice went 70-44 against an expectation of 51.93-49.44 — four goals of scoring missing and eight fewer conceded, on a line that broke even in the play.

The Finesse Game

189 attempts at a median of 18 feet with 57 per cent from inside 20 and only 7 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 22.2 per cent. That is the highest conversion rate of any player in this edition who took more than a hundred shots, and it is the fourth straight season he has been above 17 per cent.

The shot location explains most of it. He does not shoot from range and he never has; the release is quick, the hands in the slot are excellent, and he gets to the paint by reading a coverage rather than by beating anybody physically.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 177 and light. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall.

7 penalty minutes in 77 games is close to the lowest total of any regular in this edition. He does not foul, he does not retaliate, and he is on the first penalty-killing unit anyway.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2014 — 79th overall, at 5-9 and 160 pounds — and 657 games, 635 points, 306 goals and two Stanley Cups.

He is 29 and has scored 40 or more goals in three of the last four seasons. He scored 14 goals in the 2020 playoffs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
71.2% of his attempts in the slot, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
disciplined· stays out of the box
0.09 penalty minutes a game over 77, 2nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:30 a game at five-on-five, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“He does not shoot from range and he never has; the release is quick, the hands in the slot are excellent, and he gets to the paint by reading a coverage rather than by beating anybody physically.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall.”
fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“He does not foul, he does not retaliate, and he is on the first penalty-killing unit anyway.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He does not foul, he does not retaliate, and he is on the first penalty-killing unit anyway.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,117 minutes

Expected goals: 51.2%; 65th pct
Shot attempts: 48.6%; 39th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 70 for, 44 against. Expected: 51.9 and 49.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

91st

Numbers

65th

The report ranks him 26 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed: 23.8 mph; 98th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 5.48 a game
Distance: 3.17 miles a game
Hardest shot: 82.0 mph; 28th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1117 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: TBL took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,117 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Jake Guentzel	52.7%	45.6%	54.6%
Nikita Kucherov	52.8%	47.0%	58.4%
Victor Hedman	53.1%	49.5%	52.7%

52.7% together, 45.6% for him apart and 54.6% for Guentzel apart. He was worse away from Guentzel, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Guentzel did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

278 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 43 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 58% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.