Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

90

J.J. Moser

Tampa Bay Lightning Defense

Plus-20 in 54 games from a Swiss defenceman acquired in the Sergachev trade.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22ARI4341115-10161014010.018:42
2022-23ARI8272431-1235301937.521:03
2023-24ARI8052126-535000776.520:34
2024-25TBL5421214+2022010484.218:51
2025-26 so far
Career259186886-71084122587.020:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 12 assists in 54 games — 14 points at 18:51 a night, plus-20, with a shorthanded goal and 22 penalty minutes. He missed a third of the season.

49.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 49th percentile, across 844 minutes. His ice went 37-29 against an expectation of 32.19-32.52 — five goals better than expected for and four fewer against.

The Finesse Game

48 attempts in 54 games at a median of 51 feet with 67 per cent from beyond 40 and 8 per cent from inside 20, and 2 goals. He had 18 goals in 259 games in Arizona and the shot has been used less here.

12 assists in 54 games. The skating is the reason he plays — he escapes the first forechecker by turning away from it and he is comfortable carrying the puck through the neutral zone under pressure.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 183 and light for the position. He does not clear a crease and he is not going to win a battle against a heavy forward in front of his own net.

22 penalty minutes in 54 games at nearly nineteen minutes a night is a moderate rate. He defends by angling and stick position and it works at second-pairing minutes.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick of Arizona in 2021 out of the Swiss league, and acquired by Tampa Bay in the 2024 trade that sent Mikhail Sergachev to Utah — along with Conor Geekie.

259 games and 86 points. He is 25 and this is a club that has repeatedly turned a Swiss or Scandinavian second-round pick into a top-four defenceman.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 844 minutes

Expected goals
49.7%
50th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 29 against. Expected: 32.2 and 32.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
50th

The two rank him within 14 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 844 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
TBL took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
844 minutes at five-on-five — 40th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Victor Hedman50.5%48.5%52.0%
Jake Guentzel49.1%50.1%51.9%
Nikita Kucherov45.9%51.8%54.9%

50.5% together, 48.5% for him apart and 52.0% for Hedman apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

79 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 52 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 67% from beyond forty.