This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Morgan Frost

37 points across two clubs and a 52.7 per cent chance share, from a centre Philadelphia gave up on twice.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2019-20	PHI	20	2	5	7	-3	4	0	1	0	31	6.5	13:41
2020-21	PHI	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	10:14
2021-22	PHI	55	5	11	16	-11	14	1	0	0	85	5.9	13:55
2022-23	PHI	81	19	27	46	-12	24	1	0	3	155	12.3	16:21
2023-24	PHI	71	13	28	41	+4	22	3	0	1	135	9.6	15:50
2024-25	PHI/CGY	81	14	23	37	-17	22	2	0	2	144	9.7	15:45
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	310	53	94	147	-39	86	7	1	6	550	9.6	15:26

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 23 assists in 81 games for 37 points, minus-17, on 15:45 a night between Philadelphia and Calgary.

52.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 75th percentile — the best figure among the club’s forwards. His on-ice goals were 34-44 against an expected 37-34, which is 11 goals of goaltending and finishing running the wrong way underneath the best possession forward on the roster.

The Finesse Game

The passing is the skill and it is genuinely good. He plays a slow, deliberate game, holds the puck below the goal line, and finds the seam a beat later than the defence expects.

144 shots and 14 goals at 9.7 per cent, with 44 per cent of the attempts inside 20 feet — the locations are right and the finish is not. He is a distributor rather than a scorer and has been miscast as the latter for most of his career.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 193, and light. He does not win pucks on the wall, does not forecheck with weight, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.

22 penalty minutes over 81 games. He is not in the traffic, which is both a discipline and a limitation.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who spent six years in Philadelphia being alternately promoted and scratched, and was traded at 25 for a return that suggested nobody rated him.

The underlying numbers say that judgment was wrong. A 77th-percentile chance share with a minus-17 is a player whose results have been worse than his play for a while, and on a cheap contract he is one of the better bets in this chapter.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
52.8% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.4% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.4, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“The passing is the skill and it is genuinely good.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not win pucks on the wall, does not forecheck with weight, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not win pucks on the wall, does not forecheck with weight, and gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit.”
hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“gives up possession rather than absorbing a hit”
nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“He is not in the traffic, which is both a discipline and a limitation.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 994 minutes

Expected goals: 52.8%; 76th pct
Shot attempts: 49.9%; 51st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 44 against. Expected: 37.5 and 33.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

49th

Numbers

76th

The numbers rank him 27 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 22.4 mph; 58th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.02 a game
Distance: 2.62 miles a game
Hardest shot: 82.2 mph; 29th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with PHI · 611 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.8% — 4.1 above the club he did it on.
The role: 994 minutes at five-on-five — 60th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Owen Tippett	57.1%	50.4%	51.0%
Matvei Michkov	56.4%	51.1%	51.6%
Travis Sanheim	52.8%	52.8%	53.6%

57.1% together, 50.4% for him apart and 51.0% for Tippett apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

206 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.