Morgan Frost

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

55 games, 5 goals and 11 assists at 13:55 a night, minus-11, fourteen penalty minutes, 85 shots. Twenty-seventh overall in 2017, three seasons, 77 games, 23 points.

The Finesse Game

Five goals from eighty-five shots is 5.9 per cent, the 33rd-lowest of the 393 forwards who played forty games. That is the number holding the whole file down and it is drawn from eighty-five attempts.

6.66 shots per 60 is the 37th percentile from a 28-foot median with forty-three per cent from the slot, on an 88.2 mph shot at the 36th. Not much volume, not much velocity, and a scoring rate to match.

2.12 takeaways per 60 is the 81st percentile against 1.72 giveaways at the 63rd — a positive ledger, and the second-best of any Flyers centre behind Kevin Hayes.

1.28 even-strength points per 60 is the 21st percentile. 48.0 per cent of the expected goals and 46.6 per cent of the attempts, out of 54.5 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 194th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.

The pair file is the argument for him. Across 442 five-on-five attempts with Travis Sanheim the two took 52.0 per cent of the expected goals, against 45.7 for Frost apart and 47.7 for Sanheim apart. With Rasmus Ristolainen it is 52.3 against 46.3 and 45.6. With Owen Tippett, 56.2 across 267 attempts. Five of the six team-mates the pair file records him beside took a better share with him than without, and the exception is Keith Yandle, who has left.

The Physical Game

3.45 hits per 60 is the 43rd percentile at 6-0 and 193 pounds, and 0.31 penalties drawn per 60 is the 24th-fewest of the 393 — almost nothing happens to him and almost nothing happens because of him.

The Intangibles

10.33 miles per 60 is the 18th-most of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, on 7.0 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 at the 69th percentile.

A 22.6 mph top speed is only the 62nd percentile. He is a distance skater rather than a fast one, and at 13:55 a night the distance is being covered on short shifts.

He is 23 with seventy-seven NHL games spread over three calendar years. The pair file, the ground covered and the takeaway ledger all say there is a player here, and five goals from eighty-five shots is why he has not yet been given the ice to prove it.