Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Matt Coronato

45 points, minus-29, and 200 shots taken from too far away.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2022-23	CGY	1	0	0	0	+1	2	0	0	0	4	0.0	14:38
2023-24	CGY	34	3	6	9	-15	4	1	0	0	58	5.2	12:37
2024-25	CGY	77	24	23	47	+6	25	5	0	4	180	13.3	17:35
2025-26	CGY	80	18	27	45	-29	32	7	0	3	197	9.1	16:39
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	192	45	56	101	-37	63	13	0	7	439	10.3	16:18

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 27 assists in 80 games — 45 points and the team lead among forwards, at minus-29, the worst figure on the roster. 197 shots on goal.

The Finesse Game

He shoots more than anyone here and from the wrong ice. 287 unblocked attempts, only 32 per cent from inside 20 feet, median 29 — and 18 goals out of it.

The release is quick and the hands are good in tight when he gets there. The habit is to settle for the shot that is available rather than work for the one that scores, which at 23 is fixable and has not been fixed.

27 assists says the passing is the more reliable half.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 183 pounds, and it is a real constraint. 32 penalty minutes. He does not win pucks on the wall and he does not get to the net front against men who do not want him there, which is precisely why the shots come from 29 feet.

The Intangibles

The minus-29 overstates it and the underlying numbers do not rescue him: 45.7 per cent of the expected goals, 20th percentile, with the expected goals 42.6 to 50.7 against across 1,000 minutes.

He was the thirteenth pick in 2021 and he is the leading scorer on a bad team, which is a genuinely awkward place to be assessed from. 10 points in his last 10 games.

The talent is not the question. Whether 183 pound winger can get to the ice where his shot is worth something is the entire question.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,053 minutes

Expected goals: 45.7%; 20th pct
Shot attempts: 49.3%; 51st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 51 against. Expected: 42.6 and 50.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

38th

Numbers

20th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 80 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 73rd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.24 a game
Distance: 2.68 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.9 mph; 69th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 8 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1053 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: CGY took 47.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.7% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,053 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Morgan Frost	47.5%	44.1%	48.6%
Mikael Backlund	44.1%	46.5%	49.3%
Kevin Bahl	43.7%	46.9%	44.8%

47.5% together, 44.1% for him apart and 48.6% for Frost apart. He was worse away from Frost, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Frost did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

287 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.