This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Mark Jankowski
Nashville Predators Left Wing
Eleven career shorthanded goals against 56 career goals, and the highest chance share in this edition.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 10:18 |
| 2017-18 | CGY | 72 | 17 | 8 | 25 | -7 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 118 | 14.4 | 13:21 |
| 2018-19 | CGY | 79 | 14 | 18 | 32 | +6 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 99 | 14.1 | 12:42 |
| 2019-20 | CGY | 56 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 13.2 | 11:06 |
| 2020-21 | PIT | 45 | 4 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 11.4 | 10:43 |
| 2021-22 | BUF | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14.3 | 13:39 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 50 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -1 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 57 | 12.3 | 12:26 |
| 2023-24 | NSH | 32 | 7 | 8 | 15 | +11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 14.6 | 12:40 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 354 | 56 | 51 | 107 | +3 | 95 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 409 | 13.7 | 12:20 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
32 games, 7 goals and 8 assists for 15 points, 1 shorthanded, 8 penalty minutes, 12:40 a night and plus-11. He took 63.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 365 minutes, and his ice went 18-7 against an expectation of 19.59-11.30.
That 63.4 per cent is the highest chance share of any skater in this edition with more than two hundred and fifty five-on-five minutes — above Connor McDavid’s. Three hundred and sixty-five minutes on a fourth line is a small enough sample that it should be read as a curiosity rather than a verdict, and it is still a remarkable one.
The Finesse Game
48 shots at a median of 22 feet with 46 per cent from inside 20, converted at 14.6 per cent against a career 13.69.
51 career assists in 354 games. Seven goals in thirty-two games is a fourth-line rate that flatters him slightly. What is genuinely unusual is that 11 of his 56 career goals have come shorthanded — one in five, which for a player of this description is extraordinary.
The Physical Game
He is 6-4 and 200 and uses reach rather than weight.
95 career penalty minutes in 354 games is a low rate. He kills penalties, blocks shots, and forechecks by taking away the outlet rather than by hitting the man.
The Intangibles
Twenty-first overall in 2012 by Calgary, out of Hamilton, Ontario, eight seasons across four organisations, and 107 points in 354 games.
He is 30 and a first-round pick who has become a specialist. Eleven shorthanded goals is a real skill and it is worth a roster spot on a club that spends the ninth-most time a man down in hockey.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 365 minutes
- Expected goals
- 63.4%
- 100th pct
- Shot attempts
- 57.9%
- 96th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 7 against. Expected: 19.6 and 11.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 47 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 365 minutes at five-on-five
- Thomas Novak58%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 63.4% — 10.9 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 365 minutes at five-on-five — 11th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Evangelista | 65.5% | 60.2% | 54.2% |
| Tommy Novak | 67.6% | 57.0% | 55.6% |
| Roman Josi | 59.4% | 66.1% | 53.9% |
65.5% together, 60.2% for him apart and 54.2% for Evangelista apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
70 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.