Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

90

Marcus Johansson

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

Nine hundred and eleven games, 483 points, and a career minus-65.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11WSH69131427+21021210212.814:43
2011-12WSH80143246-581039015.616:48
2012-13WSH3461622+343014015.016:35
2013-14WSH8083644-2146011077.517:32
2014-15WSH82202747+61030113814.516:29
2015-16WSH74172946+121660713212.916:38
2016-17WSH82243458+251050512918.617:00
2017-18NJD295914-11141004211.915:59
2018-19NJD/BOS58131730-16820111511.315:56
2019-20BUF6092130-12201018710.317:09
2020-21MIN366814-1042034613.015:56
2021-22SEA/WSH6992029-2643021118.116:08
2022-23WSH/MIN80192746+3852713713.916:30
2023-24MIN78111930-15221001129.815:53
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—911174309483-6514241334138812.516:26

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

78 games, 11 goals and 19 assists for 30 points, 1 on the power play, 22 penalty minutes, 15:53 a night and minus-15. He took 52.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,045 minutes, the 72nd percentile, and his ice went 34-41 against an expectation of 40.04-36.04.

Six goals of scoring that did not arrive and five more conceded than the chances called for. A 72nd-percentile chance share that produced a minus-15, which is what happens when both ends go wrong at once.

The Finesse Game

169 attempts at a median of 29 feet with 31 per cent from inside 20, converted at 9.8 per cent against a career 12.54.

309 career assists in 911 games. The hands are still there and the finishing has gone; eleven goals on 112 shots is three short of his own career rate. He moves the puck early and does not hold it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 203 and has never played like it.

22 penalty minutes in 78 games is a very low rate. He does not forecheck hard, does not win the wall, and is easy to move off a puck.

The Intangibles

Twenty-fourth overall in 2009 out of Landskrona, fourteen seasons across six organisations, and 483 points in 911 games at a career minus-65.

He is 34 and this is his second spell in Minnesota, as it is his second in Washington. Thirty points at fifteen minutes a night is a third-line total and that is where he now belongs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He moves the puck early and does not hold it.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-1 and 203 and has never played like it.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck hard, does not win the wall, and is easy to move off a puck.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck hard, does not win the wall, and is easy to move off a puck.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He does not forecheck hard, does not win the wall, and is easy to move off a puck.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,045 minutes

Expected goals
52.6%
72nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.4%
58th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 41 against. Expected: 40.0 and 36.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
72nd

The numbers rank him 48 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 78 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
80th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
2.38 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.56 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.6 mph
49th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1045 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MIN took 51.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.6% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,045 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Faber50.0%54.3%50.7%
Jake Middleton47.8%55.6%48.4%
Joel Eriksson Ek50.5%53.8%56.8%

50.0% together, 54.3% for him apart and 50.7% for Faber apart. He was better away from Faber, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Faber.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

169 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.