Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

90

Marcus Johansson

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

34 points at 35, and on-ice goals of 31-33 that nobody should expect again.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11WSH69131427+21021210212.814:43
2011-12WSH80143246-581039015.616:48
2012-13WSH3461622+343014015.016:35
2013-14WSH8083644-2146011077.517:32
2014-15WSH82202747+61030113814.516:29
2015-16WSH74172946+121660713212.916:38
2016-17WSH82243458+251050512918.617:00
2017-18NJD295914-11141004211.915:59
2018-19NJD/BOS58131730-16820111511.315:56
2019-20BUF6092130-12201018710.317:09
2020-21MIN366814-1042034613.015:56
2021-22SEA/WSH6992029-2643021118.116:08
2022-23WSH/MIN80192746+3852713713.916:30
2023-24MIN78111930-15221001129.815:53
2024-25MIN72112334-7121111219.116:23
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—983185332517-7215442435150912.316:25

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 23 assists in 72 games for 34 points, minus-7, on 16:23 a night with a shorthanded goal.

47.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 33rd percentile. His on-ice goals were 31-33 against an expected 33.7-36.9, which is three goals of scoring that did not arrive and four of goaltending in his favour, and a minus-7 anyway.

The Finesse Game

The passing is still good and the hands still work in traffic. 23 assists in a third-line role is a fair total and he remains one of the few men on this roster who can make a play at pace.

121 shots and 11 goals at 9.1 per cent. The shot has never been a weapon and at 35 the release is slow enough that goaltenders are rarely troubled.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 203, and he does not play to it. He avoids the wall, does not forecheck with weight, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact.

12 penalty minutes over 72 games. Durable, and the legs have thinned.

The Intangibles

Sixteen seasons, seven organisations, two separate stints here, and a career of being a useful middle-six forward everywhere he has been.

At 35 the projection is 30 points and a chance share around the league median. The on-ice goal differential last season was a gift and it is worth being explicit about that.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The passing is still good and the hands still work in traffic. 23 assists in a third-line role is a fair total and he remains one of the few men on this roster who can make a play at pace.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-1 and 203, and he does not play to it.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He avoids the wall”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “does not forecheck with weight”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “gives up possession rather than absorbing contact”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,002 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
33rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.6%
30th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 33 against. Expected: 33.7 and 36.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
33rd

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 72 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
93rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.78 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.3 mph
53rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1002 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,002 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Faber45.1%49.5%46.6%
Ryan Hartman48.9%47.1%50.3%
Frederick Gaudreau43.8%49.7%44.5%

45.1% together, 49.5% for him apart and 46.6% for Faber apart. He was better away from Faber, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Faber.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

166 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.