Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
90

Marcus Johansson

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

34 points at 35, and on-ice goals of 43-22 that nobody should expect again.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11WSH69131427+21021210212.814:43
2011-12WSH80143246-581039015.616:48
2012-13WSH3461622+343014015.016:35
2013-14WSH8083644-2146011077.517:32
2014-15WSH82202747+61030113814.516:29
2015-16WSH74172946+121660713212.916:38
2016-17WSH82243458+251050512918.617:00
2017-18NJD295914-11141004211.915:59
2018-19NJD/BOS58131730-16820111511.315:56
2019-20BUF6092130-12201018710.317:09
2020-21MIN366814-1042034613.015:56
2021-22SEA/WSH6992029-2643021118.116:08
2022-23WSH/MIN80192746+3852713713.916:30
2023-24MIN78111930-15221001129.815:53
2024-25MIN72112334-7121111219.116:23
2025-26 so far
Career983185332517-7215442435150912.316:25

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 23 assists in 72 games for 34 points, minus-7, on 16:23 a night with a shorthanded goal.

49.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 44th percentile. His on-ice goals were 43-22 against an expected 35.0-35.9, which is 8 goals of finishing above expectation and 14 of goaltending — 22 goals of help, and a minus-7 anyway.

The Finesse Game

The passing is still good and the hands still work in traffic. 23 assists in a third-line role is a fair total and he remains one of the few men on this roster who can make a play at pace.

121 shots and 11 goals at 9.1 per cent. The shot has never been a weapon and at 35 the release is slow enough that goaltenders are rarely troubled.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 203, and he does not play to it. He avoids the wall, does not forecheck with weight, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact.

12 penalty minutes over 72 games. Durable, and the legs have thinned.

The Intangibles

Sixteen seasons, seven organisations, two separate stints here, and a career of being a useful middle-six forward everywhere he has been.

At 35 the projection is 30 points and a chance share around the league median. The on-ice goal differential last season was a gift and it is worth being explicit about that.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,002 minutes

Expected goals
49.4%
45th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.1%
33rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 22 against. Expected: 35.0 and 35.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
45th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1002 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.4% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,002 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Faber47.0%50.9%46.8%
Ryan Hartman49.9%49.1%50.0%
Frederick Gaudreau46.9%50.5%44.7%

47.0% together, 50.9% for him apart and 46.8% for Faber apart. He was better away from Faber, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Faber.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

166 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.