Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

18

Drew O'Connor

Pittsburgh Penguins Left Wing

Undrafted, 6-4, and 52 per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet — the closest chart of any Pittsburgh forward who shot two hundred times.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21PIT10011-2200080.08:57
2021-22PIT22325-14000407.510:17
2022-23PIT465611-312000628.19:49
2023-24PIT79161733+142001216010.015:45
2024-25 so far
Career157242650+8380122708.912:49

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games, 16 goals and 17 assists for 33 points, none on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 20 penalty minutes, 15:45 a night and plus-14, with 2 game-winners. He took 50.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,087 minutes, the 56th percentile, and his ice went 49-42 against an expectation of 49.99-49.27.

His ice finished level with the chances at one end and seven goals to the good at the other. Sixteen goals is two-thirds of his career total in one season, and 1,087 minutes is the most five-on-five ice of any Pittsburgh forward under 27.

The Finesse Game

211 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 52 per cent of them from inside twenty, 153 of those on goal, converted at 10.0 per cent against a career 8.89 across 270 shots.

Zero power-play goals in 157 career games. Everything he scores comes from within twenty feet at even strength, which is the closest shot chart of any Pittsburgh forward who took two hundred attempts and the reason a fourth-line wage draws third-line minutes.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 209 and took 20 penalty minutes.

Thirty-eight career penalty minutes in 157 games. He is a large man who forechecks by arriving first rather than by finishing checks, and there is more speed in his game than there is weight behind it.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, four seasons, all of them in Pittsburgh, and 50 points in 157 games.

He was undrafted, took three seasons to hold a place, and then scored 16 goals in the fourth. One career shorthanded goal and a plus-8 is a bottom-six winger doing more than his contract asked for.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,087 minutes

Expected goals
50.4%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.3%
66th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 42 against. Expected: 50.0 and 49.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
56th

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1087 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PIT took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.4% — 0.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,087 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Erik Karlsson52.8%48.4%54.5%
Kris Letang45.4%53.2%51.1%
Marcus Pettersson51.9%49.5%53.9%

52.8% together, 48.4% for him apart and 54.5% for Karlsson apart. He was worse away from Karlsson, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Karlsson did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

211 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.