Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Leon Draisaitl

Photo by Sven Mandel, CC BY-SA 4.0

Leon Draisaitl

Edmonton Oilers Center #29

One of the two or three most dangerous goal-scorers alive, and he does it at a pace that looks like he is barely trying.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15EDM37279-174101494.112:42
2015-16EDM72193251-22050213314.318:04
2016-17EDM82294877+720100517216.918:53
2017-18EDM78254570-73063119412.919:19
2018-19EDM825055105+252163523121.622:35
2019-20EDM714367110-7181601021819.722:37
2020-21EDM56315384+2922151816818.422:11
2021-22EDM805555110+17402411127819.822:21
2022-23EDM805276128+7243211124721.121:44
2023-24EDM814165106+2676210721718.920:42
2024-25EDM715254106+32341601124021.721:31
2025-26EDM65356297+1326161318618.821:35
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—8554346191053+1003661781075233318.620:39

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 goals and 97 points in 65 games — he missed 17 and still finished at a point and a half a night. 16 of the goals came on the power play, which is the number that explains why teams spend the second period trying not to take penalties against Edmonton.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the headline. From the left circle, on his off wing, the one-timer is as heavy and as accurate as anything in the league, and he does not need the pass to be a good one — he will take it in his feet, off his back skate, behind him, and still get it away in a single motion. Goalies know it is coming. It goes in anyway.

Everything else about him is built on deception rather than speed. He is not a fast skater and never has been. What he has instead is an unusual sense of tempo: he slows a play down, holds the puck a half-second past the point where the defense has committed, and then delivers a pass that was available the whole time and that nobody else saw. In tight, his hands are outstanding. He scores an unreasonable number of goals from below the dots by simply outwaiting the goaltender.

He is a genuine center and a genuine winger, which is rarer than it sounds. Put him with McDavid and the 2 of them play give-and-go hockey that no defensive structure has solved. Split them up and Edmonton has 2 lines that must be defended honestly.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 209, and he plays a heavy game without playing a mean one. He is very hard to move off a puck along the wall — thick through the legs, low center of gravity, completely willing to absorb a hit to hold possession an extra beat. He initiates contact rarely and finishes checks less than that.

Durability has been ordinary rather than remarkable. He plays through things, and he misses time.

The Intangibles

The honest criticism is the defensive half of the rink. He is not careless, and he has gotten better at it, but he is not the player you send out to protect a 1-goal lead if there is anyone else available, and his career plus-minus sits closer to even than a player of this caliber should ever allow.

Against that: he has never once shrunk in a playoff series, and he has spent a decade being the second name on a team that gets discussed as one man’s. If that bothers him, it has not shown on the ice.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    16:10 a game at five-on-five, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,051 minutes

Expected goals
54.6%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.2%
82nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 62 for, 50 against. Expected: 54.1 and 45.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
99th
Numbers
86th

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 88 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 65 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.37 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.28 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.3 mph
58th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

17

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 11 assists, 25 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1051 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.6% — 3.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,051 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Vasily Podkolzin51.4%58.6%52.9%
Darnell Nurse48.4%58.8%49.6%
Evan Bouchard62.0%48.2%56.3%

51.4% together, 58.6% for him apart and 52.9% for Podkolzin apart. He was better away from Podkolzin, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Podkolzin.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

294 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 36 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.