Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Evan Bouchard

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Evan Bouchard

Edmonton Oilers Defense #2

A 95-point defenseman with the hardest shot on the team and a turnover in him that will take a year off your life.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19EDM7101-521001010.012:21
2020-21EDM14235-22100385.314:50
2021-22EDM81123143+10282012055.919:48
2022-23EDM8283240+6282021565.118:31
2023-24EDM81186482+34328072208.223:00
2024-25EDM82145367+14323022356.023:28
2025-26EDM82217495+25307052219.524:41
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—42976257333+821542401710857.021:31

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

21 goals and 74 assists in all 82 games, plus-25, on nearly 25 minutes a night — the heaviest workload on the roster and one of the best offensive seasons any defenseman has put together this decade.

The Finesse Game

The shot is a weapon in the old sense of the word: heavy enough that goaltenders fight it rather than catch it, and accurate enough that he can put it through traffic on purpose. On the power play he shoots from the blue line the way other teams shoot from the circle, and the rebounds it creates are half of Edmonton’s man-advantage offense.

The passing is the underrated part. He makes the long first pass — the one that hits a forward in stride at the far blue line — better than almost anyone at the position, and he makes it under pressure, off his backhand, from his own goal line. That single skill is why Edmonton’s rush offense so often starts before the forwards have finished turning around.

He skates well for a big man without being fast. He gets to pucks in the corner with good angles rather than good speed, and he pivots cleanly enough that he is rarely beaten wide by a straight-line winger.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 192, and the frame is not filled in the way you would expect at that height. He defends with his stick and his reach, both of which are excellent, rather than with his body. He will tie a man up in front, but he does not punish anyone for being there, and a heavy forechecker can get to him below the goal line.

The Intangibles

The turnovers are real and they are not going away. He holds pucks a beat too long looking for the play that breaks a game open, and a few times a month that beat costs a goal against — usually a bad one, usually at a moment when a simple rim off the glass would have ended the shift. Anyone who watches him regularly has a specific one they still think about.

Whether that is a flaw or the price of admission is the whole argument about him, and the honest answer is that it is the price. A defenseman who creates this much cannot also be one who never gambles. He has gotten noticeably calmer year over year, which suggests the defensive ceiling is higher than people assumed.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    58.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +10.9, 99th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,489 minutes

Expected goals
58.1%
98th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.2%
91st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 87 for, 69 against. Expected: 83.2 and 60.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
95th
Numbers
98th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
61st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.94 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.46 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.1 mph
90th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

13

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 11 assists, 20 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1489 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.1% — 6.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,489 minutes at five-on-five — 97th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mattias Ekholm58.4%56.5%57.3%
Connor McDavid61.2%52.3%49.8%
Zach Hyman61.9%55.6%48.1%

58.4% together, 56.5% for him apart and 57.3% for Ekholm apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

312 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 63% from beyond forty.