Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Darnell Nurse

Photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0

Darnell Nurse

San Jose Sharks Defense #25

798 games, 104 penalty minutes, and 7 goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15EDM2000-2000020.017:00
2015-16EDM693710-13600001202.520:14
2016-17EDM445611033000855.917:01
2017-18EDM8262026+15670021943.122:15
2018-19EDM82103141-5871011965.123:49
2019-20EDM7152833-2480011702.923:27
2020-21EDM56162036+275710215410.425:38
2021-22EDM7192635+18540202034.425:03
2022-23EDM82123143+26640242035.923:30
2023-24EDM81102232+3791121815.521:54
2024-25EDM7652833+11720111882.722:22
2025-26EDM8271724-121040001644.320:58
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—79888236324+66725361318604.722:30

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 17 assists in all 82 games — 24 points, minus-12, at 20:58 a night with 104 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Edmonton. His 798th career game.

The Finesse Game

231 unblocked attempts from a median of 49 feet, 9 per cent from inside 20, 7 goals. 88 goals in 798 career games.

17 assists in a full season at 21 minutes a night is thin, and 324 points in 798 games is the honest rate of a defenceman who has been asked to be an offensive contributor and is not one.

The Physical Game

6-4, 215, and genuinely imposing — he skates as well as any big defenceman in the league and hits like it. 104 penalty minutes.

The size and the feet together are why he has played 800 games. The decision-making under a forecheck is why the rest of it has been argued about for a decade.

The Intangibles

49.2 per cent of the expected goals, 48th percentile, and 48.2 per cent of the shot attempts, 38th, across 1,550 minutes, a genuine number-one defenceman’s workload.

The goals came out 55-69, 12 worse than chances that were close to level, on a good Edmonton club.

He is 31, the seventh pick in 2013, and joins Trouba and Orlov on a blue line that is suddenly old, heavy and experienced in front of 22-year-old forwards. That is a deliberate construction, and it is the right one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,550 minutes

Expected goals
49.2%
48th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.2%
38th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 55 for, 69 against. Expected: 63.9 and 66.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
48th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
96th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.23 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.92 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.5 mph
75th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with EDM · 1550 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.2% — 2.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,550 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Vasily Podkolzin51.6%48.2%52.4%
Leon Draisaitl48.4%49.6%58.8%
Jack Roslovic50.8%48.6%51.0%

51.6% together, 48.2% for him apart and 52.4% for Podkolzin apart. He was worse away from Podkolzin, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Podkolzin did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

231 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.