Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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13

Gabriel Vilardi

Winnipeg Jets Center

Sixty-two per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet — the most net-front profile on the roster — and 27 goals in 71 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20LAK10347041001915.812:51
2020-21LAK54101323-863036515.414:45
2021-22LAK25527-582014112.213:31
2022-23LAK63231841+101850612218.915:36
2023-24WPG47221436+111490511718.817:00
2024-25WPG71273461+914120613020.818:08
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—2709085175+17643202149418.216:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 goals and 34 assists in 71 games — 61 points at 18:08 a night, plus-9, with 12 power-play goals and 6 game-winners on 130 shots, converting at 20.8 per cent, and 14 penalty minutes.

51.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 56th percentile. His ice went 55-38 against an expectation of 45.76-43.96 — six goals of scoring missing and twenty-three fewer conceded.

The Finesse Game

130 attempts at a median of 16 feet with 62 per cent from inside 20 and 8 per cent from beyond 40 — the most net-front shot profile on this roster and one of the most in the edition — converting at 20.8 per cent.

34 assists in 71 games. He is 6-3 and 216 and he stands where a goaltender needs to see through him, and the hands in tight are good enough to make the tip and the rebound count.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 216 and he is very difficult to move out of the blue paint. He establishes position and stays, and he wins pucks below the goal line by leaning on people rather than by chasing them.

14 penalty minutes in 71 games is a very low total for a player who spends the night in the crease. He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.

The Intangibles

Eleventh overall in 2017 by Los Angeles and 270 games and 175 points — a top-ten talent whose first four professional years were largely taken by a back injury that had no clean diagnosis.

He is 26 and came here in the Pierre-Luc Dubois trade. Ninety goals in 270 games is the record of a player whose body finally allowed it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    73.0% of his attempts in the slot, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:58 a game at five-on-five, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    67% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “**130 attempts at a median of 16 feet with 62 per cent from inside 20 and 8 per cent from beyond 40** — the most net-front shot profile on this roster and one of the most in the edition — converting at 20.8 per cent.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “**6-3 and 216 and he is very difficult to move out of the blue paint.** He establishes position and stays, and he wins pucks below the goal line by leaning on people rather than by chasing them.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He establishes position and stays, and he wins pucks below the goal line by leaning on people rather than by chasing them.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,063 minutes

Expected goals
51%
63rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48%
34th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 55 for, 38 against. Expected: 45.8 and 44.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
63rd

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 71 games

Top speed
21.0 mph
9th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.38 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.75 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.7 mph
37th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1063 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.0% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,063 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kyle Connor51.7%43.2%49.1%
Josh Morrissey57.6%44.4%51.9%
Dylan DeMelo53.1%49.4%53.5%

51.7% together, 43.2% for him apart and 49.1% for Connor apart. He was worse away from Connor, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Connor did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

185 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 27 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 62% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.