Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

25

Kevin Rooney

Calgary Flames Center

The 2nd-lowest chance share of the 393 qualified forwards, and a block rate at the 96th percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17NJD4000-3400020.010:11
2017-18NJD10000000030.011:46
2018-19NJD416410-4150113915.412:37
2019-20NJD49459+820020596.811:44
2020-21NYR5486140540206212.912:21
2021-22NYR616612-118001718.513:51
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—210242145011105223610.212:39

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 6 assists in 61 games for the Rangers — 12 points at 13:51 a night, minus-1, with 18 penalty minutes. He signed here in July.

37.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 700 minutes — the 2nd-lowest of the 393 qualified forwards, and 37.7 per cent of the shot attempts. His ice went 15-20 against an expectation of 18.01-30.22, so ten fewer goals went in behind him than the chances said should have.

New York was the club whose goaltending finished 2nd in the league at plus-23.4. That gap between 20 goals against and 30.22 expected is a substantial part of the reason a fourth line this badly outchanced finished minus-1.

The Finesse Game

5.04 shots per 60 is the 12th percentile among forwards and 1.01 even-strength points per 60 is the 7th. There is no offence here at all.

No points on the power play, and 8.5 per cent shooting at the 24th percentile. Twenty-four goals in 210 career games.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 190. 3.34 blocks per 60 is the 96th percentile among forwards and 5.97 hits is the 71st, with 2:07 a night shorthanded at the 94th. He is a penalty-killing fourth-line centre and every measured thing about him says so.

1.35 penalties drawn per 60 is the 89th percentile and his drawn-minus-taken of plus-0.71 is the 95th. He is fouled a great deal and almost never fouls, which on a fourth line is a genuine contribution.

10.25 miles per 60 is the 93rd percentile among forwards. He works.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Providence, and 210 NHL games at 29 with 45 points.

Calgary has just lost Sean Monahan, Calle Jarnkrok and Ryan Carpenter from the bottom six and replaced them with this. The 37.3 per cent is the worry, and the caveat is that a fourth line’s chance share is largely the assignment: he killed 2:07 a night and started shifts where the puck already was.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “2:07 a night shorthanded at the 94th”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “3.34 blocks per 60 is the 96th percentile among forwards”

  • undraftedpresent and ordinary· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted out of Providence, and 210 NHL games at 29 with 45 points.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 700 minutes

Expected goals
37.3%
1st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
37.7%
0th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 20 against. Expected: 18.0 and 30.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
1st

The report ranks him 25 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 61 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
53rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.61 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.37 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.0 mph
59th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with NYR · 700 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NYR took 46.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 37.3% — 9.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 700 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Reaves36.5%38.9%36.0%
Dryden Hunt44.6%32.9%48.9%
Jacob Trouba41.6%34.5%48.8%

36.5% together, 38.9% for him apart and 36.0% for Reaves apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

82 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.