Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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14

Alex Laferriere

Los Angeles Kings Right Wing

19 goals at 23, a 55.7 per cent chance share, and 193 shots from a third line.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24LAK81121123-14460021478.213:13
2024-25LAK77192342+22202041939.816:32
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—158313465+8662063409.114:50

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

19 goals and 23 assists in 77 games for 42 points, plus-22, on 16:32 a night and 193 shots.

56.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 95th percentile. 9.8 per cent conversion on that volume is below what the locations justify — 37 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet — and the goals should come.

The Finesse Game

A high-volume shooter who gets to the interior. 193 shots in sixteen minutes a night is a very high rate for a 23-year-old in a bottom-six role, and it is the most encouraging thing about him.

The hands are good rather than dangerous and 23 assists is functional. He is a finisher who has not started finishing yet, and the shot chart says it is a matter of time.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 205, and he plays hard. He forechecks with weight, goes to the net front, and takes the punishment that comes with shooting from inside the dots.

20 penalty minutes over 77 games is disciplined. Two consecutive seasons above 75 games at 23.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick out of Harvard, two full NHL seasons before turning 24, and a role that has grown every year.

The projection is a 25-goal second-line winger. On a club with an ageing top six, he is one of the two young forwards the next three seasons depend on.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks with weight, goes to the net front, and takes the punishment that comes with shooting from inside the dots.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He forechecks with weight, goes to the net front, and takes the punishment that comes with shooting from inside the dots.”

  • playmakerpresent and ordinary· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The hands are good rather than dangerous and 23 assists is functional.”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “20 penalty minutes over 77 games is disciplined.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,056 minutes

Expected goals
56.5%
95th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.1%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 29 against. Expected: 45.7 and 35.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
95th

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
54th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.05 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.66 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.5 mph
55th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1056 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.5% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,056 minutes at five-on-five — 69th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kevin Fiala57.7%54.7%57.2%
Quinton Byfield56.1%56.8%57.3%
Vladislav Gavrikov61.8%53.9%53.3%

57.7% together, 54.7% for him apart and 57.2% for Fiala apart. He was worse away from Fiala, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Fiala did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

297 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.