Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Kevin Fiala

Los Angeles Kings Left Wing

Eighty-five points in Minnesota and seventy-two in his first Los Angeles season, forty-nine of them assists.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15NSH1000-1000030.011:25
2015-16NSH510100000119.113:09
2016-17NSH5411516+1180011149.713:31
2017-18NSH80232548+202640418712.315:09
2018-19NSH/MIN83132639-23362021747.515:38
2019-20MIN64233154-14290417513.115:24
2020-21MIN50202040-24360516212.316:54
2021-22MIN82335285+235251726212.617:39
2022-23LAK69234972+25270220811.117:36
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—488147208355+1926933125129611.316:00

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 goals and 49 assists in 69 games — 72 points. Plus-2, 17:36 a night, 208 shots at 11.1 per cent, 52 penalty minutes.

Seventy-two points from a seventeen-minute assignment is a first-line rate on second-line ice, and the 49 assists are a career high in a season he did not finish.

54.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 81st percentile, with his ice at 51-47 against an expectation of 46.70-39.52 — four better than the chances at the offensive end and seven worse at the defensive.

Eighty-five points in Minnesota the year before, seventy-two here. Two clubs, two systems, the same player.

Nine seasons, 488 games, 355 points.

The Finesse Game

208 shots at a median of 24 feet, 41 per cent from inside twenty and 19 per cent from beyond forty.

Beyond forty: 42 shots on goal, 2 goals. Inside forty: 162 shots, 21 goals, 12.96 per cent.

12.96 per cent from inside forty is ordinary, and 23 goals on 208 shots is the second straight season the finishing has been merely fine. What is not ordinary is the 49 assists.

67 snap shots and 139 wrist shots out of 272 tracked attempts. He is a release player — he shoots off the pass and from the wrong foot, which is also how he creates for others.

96.2 mph at the 84th percentile, on twenty slap shots, so read that figure carefully.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 205, and 52 penalty minutes in 69 games.

Top speed 22.0 mph, the 35th percentile; bursts 0.9 a game, the 51st; 2.77 miles a game, the 65th. Every tracking reading on him is unremarkable, which is a genuine surprise for a player who looks quick with the puck.

He is not a physical forward and does not win pucks along the wall. The 52 penalty minutes are stick fouls rather than hits — the fouls of a man who has been beaten to a spot.

The Intangibles

Eleventh overall in 2014 to Nashville, traded to Minnesota at twenty-two, traded to Los Angeles at twenty-six, and productive in all three places.

54.8 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 71st percentile — a favourable share, and one of the softer ones Los Angeles handed out.

The fair reading is a genuine second-line scorer with a first-line passing game, on a club whose fifth-best chance share came from structure rather than from talent. He is one of the two or three men here who create rather than execute.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He is a release player — he shoots off the pass and from the wrong foot, which is also how he creates for others.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “The 52 penalty minutes are stick fouls rather than hits — the fouls of a man who has been beaten to a spot.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 953 minutes

Expected goals
54.2%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.6%
76th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 47 against. Expected: 46.7 and 39.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
86th
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 69 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
43rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.93 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.77 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.2 mph
95th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 953 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
LAK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
953 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Anze Kopitar53.5%54.6%54.6%
Drew Doughty55.2%53.5%52.8%
Mikey Anderson54.1%54.2%52.0%

53.5% together, 54.6% for him apart and 54.6% for Kopitar apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

271 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.