Keegan Kolesar

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games, 7 goals and 17 assists at 12:39 a night, minus-6, sixty-eight penalty minutes, 94 shots, one power-play goal and one short-handed. Sixty-ninth overall in 2015 by Columbus — the third round — three seasons, 122 games, 37 points.

The Finesse Game

Sixty-five per cent of his attempts came from inside twenty feet at a 20-foot median, at 7.4 per cent, and 5.79 shots per 60 is the 23rd percentile.

1.47 even-strength points per 60 is the 31st percentile, which is a fourth-line rate off a fourth-line shift, and twenty-four points is a career high by eleven.

2.03 takeaways per 60 is the 77th percentile against 2.22 giveaways at the 84th.

50.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 58th percentile and 50.4 per cent of the attempts the 55th — ordinary shares, which on a club that finished 8th in the league is a small mark against him.

His ice went 33-36 against an expectation of 38.32-37.1. Five goals short in front and level behind, and the minus-6 is where they went.

The Physical Game

15.15 hits per 60 is the 7th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, on a twelve-and-a-half-minute shift.

1.36 penalties drawn per 60 at the 89th percentile against 1.36 taken at the 88th, which is a net of exactly nothing and sixty-eight penalty minutes.

2.83 blocks per 60 is the 39th-most of the same 393, which for a winger is a real number, and 6-2 and 216 pounds is where all three come from.

The Intangibles

22.4 mph is the 49th percentile and 8.4 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 80th, against 9.45 miles per 60 at the 32nd — short bursts, not much ground, which is exactly what a forechecker’s twelve minutes look like.

The with-and-without says he needs a partner. Kolesar and William Carrier played 376 attempts together at 62.5 per cent. Carrier without him was 53.7. Kolesar without Carrier was 47.2. Six and a half points of share in one direction and five in the other, which is a line rather than a player.

He is 25, a third-round pick, with thirty-seven points in 122 games. The hit total and the penalties drawn are two real skills and the second is the rarer one. Giving them all back at the other end of the same rate is the reason he is a fourth-line winger and not a third-line one.