Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Keegan Kolesar

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Keegan Kolesar

Detroit Red Wings Right Wing #55

55 penalty minutes, 6 goals, and a Stanley Cup ring.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20VGK10000000010.012:06
2020-21VGK4431013-430000466.59:33
2021-22VGK7771724-668110947.412:39
2022-23VGK7481018+6680006312.711:28
2023-24VGK7981018-8490127311.010:52
2024-25VGK82121830+3530038813.613:12
2025-26VGK8261117-1455000679.011:32
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—4394476120-2332312543210.211:43

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 11 assists in all 82 games — 17 points, minus-14, at 11:32 a night with 55 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Vegas.

The Finesse Game

Limited and correctly located. 93 unblocked attempts with 45 per cent from inside 20 feet, median 23, and 6 goals. 120 points in 439 career games.

He goes to the net and does the work there. 11 assists is the ceiling.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 216, and the reason he plays. 55 penalty minutes, a willingness to fight, and a forechecking game that is genuinely difficult to handle for a defenceman retrieving a puck.

The Intangibles

47.4 per cent of the expected goals, 32nd percentile, in 909 minutes on a good club — an ordinary fourth-line number.

He is 29, a third-round pick, and has a Cup ring from a club that valued exactly this. Detroit has now added him and Kolesar’s kind of player to a bottom 6 that already had Appleton and Rasmussen in it.

That is a lot of roster spent on men who do not score, on a team that under-finished by 14 goals. The physical game is real. Whether this club needed a third helping of it is the question.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    30.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 909 minutes

Expected goals
47.4%
32nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.6%
53rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 42 against. Expected: 30.7 and 34.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
23rd
Numbers
32nd

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.54 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.87 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
80.7 mph
24th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

2

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 1 assists, 11 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with VGK · 894 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
VGK took 53.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.4% — 6.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 909 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Colton Sissons41.3%50.5%55.9%
Kaedan Korczak49.0%46.6%57.2%
Noah Hanifin49.4%46.4%56.2%

41.3% together, 50.5% for him apart and 55.9% for Sissons apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

93 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 8 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 30% from beyond forty.