Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Noah Hanifin

Photo by Photo by Jamie Kellner., CC BY-SA 3.0

Noah Hanifin

Vegas Golden Knights Defense #15

829 games, 3 goals, and the 85th percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CAR7941822-14221001223.317:54
2016-17CAR8142529-19262011083.717:55
2017-18CAR79102232-20211031656.118:52
2018-19CGY8052833+18121121164.320:46
2019-20CGY7051722-12121001323.821:10
2020-21CGY4741115-218001894.520:01
2021-22CGY81103848+27191011895.321:18
2022-23CGY8173138+2331001764.022:39
2023-24CGY/VGK80133447+19245021647.923:37
2024-25VGK80102939+8142021456.921:33
2025-26VGK71325280140001352.222:36
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—82975278353+72151511215414.920:46

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 25 assists in 71 games — 28 points, even in plus-minus, at 22:36 a night with only 14 penalty minutes.

His 829th career game and his 353rd point.

The Finesse Game

196 unblocked attempts from a median of 51 feet, 68 per cent from beyond 40, and only 3 goals — a very poor conversion, and his lowest total in 9 seasons.

25 assists in 71 games is a fair rate. 75 goals in 829 career games.

The skating is genuinely excellent and it is the whole reason a 5th overall pick has played 800 games.

The Physical Game

6-3, 206, and he defends with position and feet rather than by punishing people. 14 penalty minutes across 71 games at 22 minutes a night is among the lowest rates in this edition.

He is strong enough for the front of his net without being physical about it.

The Intangibles

54.9 per cent of the expected goals, 87th percentile, and 53.8 per cent of the shot attempts, 86th, across 1,385 minutes, with the chances 59.0 to 48.5 in his favour.

The goals came out 59-55 on chances 10 goals to the good, which is the same story as Theodore’s and the same story as the club’s.

5 points in his last 10, none of them goals. He is 29, and this is a genuinely good top-pair defenceman whose scoresheet says nothing at all about the season he had.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.20 penalty minutes a game over 71, 6th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:30 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    60% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 94th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,385 minutes

Expected goals
54.9%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.8%
86th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 55 against. Expected: 59.0 and 48.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
87th

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 71 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
98th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.14 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.31 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.6 mph
51st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

5

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 5 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1367 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
VGK took 53.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.9% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,385 minutes at five-on-five — 91st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Rasmus Andersson54.2%55.2%47.8%
Zach Whitecloud51.9%56.2%45.1%
Ivan Barbashev55.1%54.7%55.8%

54.2% together, 55.2% for him apart and 47.8% for Andersson apart. Andersson was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Andersson than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

196 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 57 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.