This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Kirill Kaprizov

56 points in 41 games — a 1.37 rate that nobody else on this club approaches — and a season lost at the halfway mark.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2020-21	MIN	55	27	24	51	+10	16	8	0	3	157	17.2	18:18
2021-22	MIN	81	47	61	108	+27	34	14	0	5	289	16.3	19:06
2022-23	MIN	67	40	35	75	+4	45	17	0	6	261	15.3	21:07
2023-24	MIN	75	46	50	96	+11	36	19	0	8	277	16.6	21:35
2024-25	MIN	41	25	31	56	+19	16	4	0	5	145	17.2	22:28
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	319	185	201	386	+71	147	62	0	27	1129	16.4	20:24

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

25 goals and 31 assists in 41 games for 56 points, plus-19, on 22:28 a night and 145 shots.

1.37 points a game. Over 82 that is a 112-point season, and it ended in December with a lower-body injury that required surgery. 54.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 89th percentile, on a club that was 28th in shot-attempt share.

The Finesse Game

The most skilled player in this organisation’s history. The hands work in traffic at full speed, the release is heavy and disguised, and he beats defencemen one-on-one from a standing start more often than anybody in the league except two or three men.

17.2 per cent shooting on 145 attempts is a high rate and he has sustained something near it for five seasons. 31 assists in 41 games is the half that gets discussed least — he has become a genuine distributor rather than a pure shooter.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 202, and built low and thick. He is very difficult to knock off a puck for his height, he goes into corners, and he protects possession with his body rather than by avoiding contact.

16 penalty minutes over 41 games. The durability is the concern: he has now missed significant time in two of the last three seasons, and this club has no second scorer.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick who spent five seasons in Russia, arrived at 23, and has been the best player on the ice in most games he has played since.

At 28, on the largest contract in league history signed this summer, everything about Minnesota’s next decade rests on him. The club scored 228 goals in a season he played half of, which is the clearest possible statement of what he is worth.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
54.7% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.8% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.9, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
16:25 a game at five-on-five, 99th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“31 assists in 41 games is the half that gets discussed least — he has become a genuine distributor rather than a pure shooter.”
hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“He is very difficult to knock off a puck for his height”
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“he goes into corners, and he protects possession with his body rather than by avoiding contact”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 673 minutes

Expected goals: 54.7%; 89th pct
Shot attempts: 52.8%; 81st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 23 against. Expected: 28.1 and 23.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

99th

Numbers

89th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 86 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 41 games

Top speed: 21.6 mph; 22nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.20 a game
Distance: 3.65 miles a game
Hardest shot: 91.6 mph; 86th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 673 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.7% — 5.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: 673 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Marco Rossi	53.4%	56.7%	52.7%
Mats Zuccarello	50.8%	58.5%	48.7%
Brock Faber	53.0%	56.4%	44.3%

53.4% together, 56.7% for him apart and 52.7% for Rossi apart. He was better away from Rossi, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Rossi.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

199 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.