Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

97

Kirill Kaprizov

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

56 points in 41 games — a 1.37 rate that nobody else on this club approaches — and a season lost at the halfway mark.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21MIN55272451+101680315717.218:18
2021-22MIN814761108+2734140528916.319:06
2022-23MIN67403575+445170626115.321:07
2023-24MIN75465096+1136190827716.621:35
2024-25MIN41253156+191640514517.222:28
2025-26 so far
Career319185201386+7114762027112916.420:24

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

25 goals and 31 assists in 41 games for 56 points, plus-19, on 22:28 a night and 145 shots.

1.37 points a game. Over 82 that is a 112-point season, and it ended in December with a lower-body injury that required surgery. 53.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 81st percentile, on a club that was 28th in shot-attempt share.

The Finesse Game

The most skilled player in this organisation’s history. The hands work in traffic at full speed, the release is heavy and disguised, and he beats defencemen one-on-one from a standing start more often than anybody in the league except two or three men.

17.2 per cent shooting on 145 attempts is a high rate and he has sustained something near it for five seasons. 31 assists in 41 games is the half that gets discussed least — he has become a genuine distributor rather than a pure shooter.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 202, and built low and thick. He is very difficult to knock off a puck for his height, he goes into corners, and he protects possession with his body rather than by avoiding contact.

16 penalty minutes over 41 games. The durability is the concern: he has now missed significant time in two of the last three seasons, and this club has no second scorer.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick who spent five seasons in Russia, arrived at 23, and has been the best player on the ice in most games he has played since.

At 28, on the largest contract in league history signed this summer, everything about Minnesota’s next decade rests on him. The club scored 214 goals in a season he played half of, which is the clearest possible statement of what he is worth.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 673 minutes

Expected goals
53.4%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.9%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 19 against. Expected: 26.0 and 22.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
98th
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 86 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 673 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
673 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marco Rossi51.6%55.8%51.9%
Brock Faber51.7%55.1%45.5%
Mats Zuccarello49.9%56.6%49.1%

51.6% together, 55.8% for him apart and 51.9% for Rossi apart. He was better away from Rossi, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Rossi.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

199 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.