Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Josh Norris

Photo by SecretName101, CC BY-SA 4.0

Josh Norris

Buffalo Sabres Center #9

On for 33 goals and 10 against, in 535 minutes he was fit for.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20OTT3000+2000090.017:55
2020-21OTT56171835-12136029617.716:28
2021-22OTT66352055-716160817220.318:35
2022-23OTT8213-160001513.317:59
2023-24OTT50161430-62250311513.917:38
2024-25OTT/BUF56211435-6446359621.918:21
2025-26BUF44132134+11282036918.815:50
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—28310488192-191293532157218.217:30

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 21 assists in 44 games — 34 points, plus-11, at 15:50 a night. 38 games missed, which is the story of his career: 283 games across 7 seasons.

The Finesse Game

A genuine finisher when available. 104 career goals in 283 games is a 30-goal pace, and the shot is the reason — heavy, quick, and taken from sensible ice at a median of 22 feet with 38 per cent inside 20.

He is a natural centre with soft hands in tight and a one-timer that belongs on a first power-play unit. When he plays, he scores.

The Physical Game

6-2, 196, and he competes without being punishing. The problem has never been willingness; it has been that his body keeps stopping. 2 full seasons out of 7.

The Intangibles

The best on-ice rate on the club: 55.2 per cent of the expected goals, 89th percentile. And a number that should be treated carefully — in 535 5-on-5 minutes the goals went 32 for and 16 against, while the expected goals went 24.3 to 19.7.

An 11-goal swing in a third of a season is variance dressed as dominance. His real rate is excellent; his apparent rate is not real.

10 points in his last 10 games. He is 27 and the only question that has ever mattered about him is how many games he plays. Everything else is settled.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 535 minutes

Expected goals
55.2%
89th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.2%
68th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 16 against. Expected: 24.3 and 19.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
89th

The numbers rank him 22 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 44 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.82 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.51 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.4 mph
66th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

10

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 6 assists, 19 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 535 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BUF took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.2% — 4.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 535 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Josh Doan59.6%50.1%52.9%
Noah Ostlund55.5%55.0%52.5%
Bowen Byram52.6%57.1%48.7%

59.6% together, 50.1% for him apart and 52.9% for Doan apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

107 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.