Photo by SecretName101, CC BY-SA 4.0
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | OTT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.0 | 17:55 |
| 2020-21 | OTT | 56 | 17 | 18 | 35 | -12 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 96 | 17.7 | 16:28 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 66 | 35 | 20 | 55 | -7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 172 | 20.3 | 18:35 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13.3 | 17:59 |
| 2023-24 | OTT | 50 | 16 | 14 | 30 | -6 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 115 | 13.9 | 17:38 |
| 2024-25 | OTT/BUF | 56 | 21 | 14 | 35 | -6 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 96 | 21.9 | 18:21 |
| 2025-26 | BUF | 44 | 13 | 21 | 34 | +11 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 69 | 18.8 | 15:50 |
| 2026-27 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 283 | 104 | 88 | 192 | -19 | 129 | 35 | 3 | 21 | 572 | 18.2 | 17:30 |
This Season So Far
The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
13 goals and 21 assists in 44 games — 34 points, plus-11, at 15:50 a night. 38 games missed, which is the story of his career: 283 games across 7 seasons.
The Finesse Game
A genuine finisher when available. 104 career goals in 283 games is a 30-goal pace, and the shot is the reason — heavy, quick, and taken from sensible ice at a median of 22 feet with 38 per cent inside 20.
He is a natural centre with soft hands in tight and a one-timer that belongs on a first power-play unit. When he plays, he scores.
The Physical Game
6-2, 196, and he competes without being punishing. The problem has never been willingness; it has been that his body keeps stopping. 2 full seasons out of 7.
The Intangibles
The best on-ice rate on the club: 55.2 per cent of the expected goals, 89th percentile. And a number that should be treated carefully — in 535 5-on-5 minutes the goals went 32 for and 16 against, while the expected goals went 24.3 to 19.7.
An 11-goal swing in a third of a season is variance dressed as dominance. His real rate is excellent; his apparent rate is not real.
10 points in his last 10 games. He is 27 and the only question that has ever mattered about him is how many games he plays. Everything else is settled.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 535 minutes
- Expected goals
- 55.2%
- 89th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.2%
- 68th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 16 against. Expected: 24.3 and 19.7.
The eye and the numbers
SightedThe numbers rank him 22 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 44 games
- Top speed
- 23.0 mph
- 86th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.82 a game
- Distance
- 2.51 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 87.4 mph
- 66th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.6
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Recent form
Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first
10
points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 6 assists, 19 shots
Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.
Usual linemates
2025-26 · 535 minutes at five-on-five
- Noah Ostlund51%
- Josh Doan50%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2025-26
- The club
- BUF took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.2% — 4.1 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 535 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Doan | 59.6% | 50.1% | 52.9% |
| Noah Ostlund | 55.5% | 55.0% | 52.5% |
| Bowen Byram | 52.6% | 57.1% | 48.7% |
59.6% together, 50.1% for him apart and 52.9% for Doan apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
107 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.