Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

76

Martin Pospisil

Calgary Flames Center

25 points, 84 penalty minutes, and 173 pounds of the most irritating hockey in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24CGY6381624+141090011176.812:43
2024-25CGY8142125+3841001143.513:48
2025-26 so far
Career144123749+171931012315.213:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 21 assists in 81 games for 25 points, plus-3, on 13:48 a night with 84 penalty minutes.

48.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 35th percentile. 114 shots and 4 goals at 3.5 per cent, which is the lowest conversion rate of any regular forward in this edition.

The Finesse Game

There is almost none in the finishing — 4 goals on 114 attempts is a genuine inability rather than bad luck — and there is more than expected in the passing. 21 assists from a fourth-line role is a real total and comes from him winning pucks and moving them immediately.

He does not shoot well, does not carry the puck, and does not need to.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 173, which is extraordinarily light for the way he plays. He hits everything, he is in every scrum, and he is among the most genuinely disliked opponents in the league.

84 penalty minutes is the third-highest on the club. The frame is the concern — a man who plays this way at this weight will have seasons ended for him, and he has already missed significant time twice.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick out of Slovakia, three American League seasons, and an NHL job earned entirely on being impossible to play against.

The projection is a third-line agitator who kills penalties and takes too many of them. The 4 goals are the ceiling problem; there is no version of this player who scores 15.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 996 minutes

Expected goals
48.4%
35th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.3%
89th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 31 against. Expected: 35.1 and 37.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
64th
Numbers
35th

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 996 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 0.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 996 minutes at five-on-five — 60th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nazem Kadri49.4%46.8%49.3%
Jonathan Huberdeau51.6%45.9%50.3%
MacKenzie Weegar54.3%44.7%48.9%

49.4% together, 46.8% for him apart and 49.3% for Kadri apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

169 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.