Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

John Beecher

Boston Bruins Center

11 points in 78 games, and a fourth-line centre who has not yet shown why he was a first-round pick.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24BOS527310-6240013818.410:37
2024-25BOS783811-926000446.811:17
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—130101121-15500018212.211:01

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 8 assists in 78 games for 11 points, minus-9, on 11:17 a night.

45.9 per cent at five-on-five, the 20th percentile, which is roughly the club average and therefore not a criticism. 44 shots in 78 games is.

The Finesse Game

The skating is genuinely good for a man of this size — long strides, real straight-line speed, and the ability to forecheck a defenceman into a bad decision.

Everything else is thin. 3 goals in 78 games, 8 assists, and no evidence in two NHL seasons of a shot or a passing game arriving. He was a 30th overall pick on the strength of the skating and the frame, and only the skating has translated.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 220, and he uses it on the forecheck rather than in front of either net. He arrives with weight and he is difficult to handle at speed, and he does not win many battles once the play stops.

26 penalty minutes over 78 games. Disciplined.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, four years at Michigan, and two NHL seasons as a fourth-line centre with no sign of more.

At 24 this is close to the answer. He is a useful penalty killer with real speed, and a club that finished 27th in chance creation cannot keep giving 11 minutes a night to a forward who produces 11 points.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    18% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 1st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “the ability to forecheck a defenceman into a bad decision”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He arrives with weight and he is difficult to handle at speed”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “he does not win many battles once the play stops”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “he uses it on the forecheck rather than in front of either net”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He is a useful penalty killer with real speed”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “3 goals in 78 games, 8 assists, and no evidence in two NHL seasons of a shot or a passing game arriving.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 737 minutes

Expected goals
45.9%
20th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.4%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 30 against. Expected: 21.1 and 24.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
20th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.21 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.86 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.3 mph
46th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 737 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BOS took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.9% — 2.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 737 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mark Kastelic49.8%41.6%35.1%
Cole Koepke55.3%37.8%40.2%
Nikita Zadorov43.0%48.0%50.3%

49.8% together, 41.6% for him apart and 35.1% for Kastelic apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

73 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 56 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.