Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

45

Cole Koepke

Winnipeg Jets Left Wing

Ten goals in 73 games from a sixth-round pick with 99 NHL games behind him.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23TBL17101-52000128.39:06
2023-24TBL90220000090.06:42
2024-25BOS7310717+1170028511.811:15
2025-26 so far
Career9911920-41900210610.410:28

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 7 assists in 73 games for Boston — 17 points at 11:15 a night, plus-1, with 2 game-winners on 85 shots, converting at 11.8 per cent, and 17 penalty minutes.

It is his first full NHL season and it came on a club that finished well out of the playoffs. Ten goals at eleven minutes a night is a genuinely useful fourth-line return.

The Finesse Game

85 attempts and 10 goals at 11.8 per cent. 20 points in 99 career games.

7 assists. There is no creation here and there is not meant to be; he skates, he forechecks, and he shoots what the forecheck gives him.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 207 and he plays a hard game. He forechecks with force, he finishes checks, and he wins pucks below the goal line, which is the entire reason he has an NHL job.

17 penalty minutes in 73 games is a low rate. He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick of Tampa Bay in 2018 — 183rd overall — out of Minnesota-Duluth, and 99 NHL games across three seasons.

He is 27. Winnipeg signed him in the summer, and a fourth-line forechecker who can score ten goals is exactly what a club that lost Mason Appleton needed.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 720 minutes

Expected goals
48.6%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44%
8th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 38 against. Expected: 23.6 and 25.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
37th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with BOS · 720 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BOS took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.6% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 720 minutes at five-on-five — 29th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
John Beecher55.5%42.0%39.8%
Mark Kastelic47.3%49.5%43.3%
Nikita Zadorov49.6%47.9%49.1%

55.5% together, 42.0% for him apart and 39.8% for Beecher apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

124 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.