This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Joel Farabee
Philadelphia Flyers Left Wing
Twelve and a half goals of on-ice finishing surplus out of the 151st-softest chair of 652 skaters, on the 28th-slowest top speed of 365.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | PHI | 52 | 8 | 13 | 21 | +6 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 9.9 | 14:06 |
| 2020-21 | PHI | 55 | 20 | 18 | 38 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 122 | 16.4 | 16:01 |
| 2021-22 | PHI | 63 | 17 | 17 | 34 | -11 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 119 | 14.3 | 17:35 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 170 | 45 | 48 | 93 | -5 | 117 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 322 | 14.0 | 16:01 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
63 games, 17 goals and 17 assists at 17:35 a night, minus-11, fifty penalty minutes, 119 shots. Fourteenth overall in 2018, three seasons, 170 games, 93 points, and he turned 22 in February.
The Finesse Game
2.08 even-strength points per 60 is the 68th percentile and only nine per cent of his points came on the power play, off 2:29 a night at the 72nd. He is taking a top-six power-play shift and producing at even strength instead.
6.44 shots per 60 is the 34th percentile at 14.3 per cent, from a 25-foot median with fifty-one per cent from the slot. Seventeen goals from 119 shots.
45.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 15th percentile and 45.8 per cent of the attempts the 16th — the bottom sixth of the league in both — out of 56.0 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 151st-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.
Only Owen Tippett started softer on this roster, and Tippett was the one forward here who cleared fifty per cent of the expected goals. Travis Konecny started dead level at 49.5 per cent and came out at 48.9. Farabee started six and a half points softer than Konecny and finished three and a half points worse.
And the goals came anyway. His ice went 43-39 against an expectation of 30.47-36.73 — twelve and a half goals of surplus going forward, on a team that finished 31st in the league in scoring and rated 16th in finishing. Whoever was on the ice with him shot the lights out, and none of that is a repeatable quantity.
The Physical Game
1.46 penalties drawn per 60 is the 31st-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, against 0.97 taken.
3.95 hits per 60 is the 51st percentile at 6-0 and 186 pounds, and fifty penalty minutes came out of sixty-three games.
The Intangibles
21.5 mph is the 28th-slowest of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, on 4.5 bursts per 60 at the 43rd percentile and 9.75 miles per 60 at the 58th.
A 22-year-old top-six winger in the bottom tenth of the league for top speed is the single most awkward fact in this chapter, and the tracking cannot say whether it is stride, shift length or something that gets better.
He is 22 with three seasons, ninety-three points and a twenty-goal year already behind him. The scoring rate and the drawn penalties are real; the possession shares out of a soft chair and the on-ice finishing surplus point the other way. Which of those the next season keeps is the whole question about him.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“1.46 penalties drawn per 60 is the 31st-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, against 0.97 taken.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 827 minutes
- Expected goals
- 45.3%
- 19th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.8%
- 20th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 39 against. Expected: 30.5 and 36.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 63 games
- Top speed
- 21.5 mph
- 25th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.32 a game
- Distance
- 2.86 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 91.0 mph
- 71st pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 827 minutes at five-on-five
- Cam Atkinsonoff the roster56%
- Kevin Hayes19%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- PHI took 46.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.3% — 0.7 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 827 minutes at five-on-five — 43rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Atkinson | 45.2% | 45.6% | 44.3% |
| Travis Sanheim | 49.0% | 42.8% | 48.2% |
| Ivan Provorov | 41.7% | 47.4% | 48.4% |
45.2% together, 45.6% for him apart and 44.3% for Atkinson apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
151 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.