Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Joel Farabee

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Joel Farabee

Calgary Flames Left Wing #86

20 goals, and a shot chart drifting the wrong way at exactly the wrong age.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20PHI5281321+639101819.914:06
2020-21PHI5520183802830112216.416:01
2021-22PHI63171734-115011111914.317:35
2022-23PHI82152439-14100114510.317:01
2023-24PHI82222850-133720218212.116:11
2024-25PHI/CGY81111425-17340011517.314:54
2025-26CGY82201838-92814214214.116:55
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—497113132245-4525785994212.016:10

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 18 assists in all 82 games — 38 points, minus-9, at 16:55 a night. 142 shots on goal.

The Finesse Game

A quick, skilled winger who has never quite become the player the fourteenth pick implied. 245 career points in 497 games is a second-line rate and he has been on his second organisation for 2 seasons of it.

The shooting is respectable without being sharp: 40 per cent of his unblocked attempts inside 20 feet, median 25. 19 goals from that, which is a fair conversion. He is not the problem on this roster.

The Physical Game

6 foot even and 186 pounds, and it is the ceiling. 28 penalty minutes in 82 games. He does not initiate contact and cannot hold a wall against a top-4 defenceman, so his game depends on getting to open ice — which on a club this poor is not often available.

The Intangibles

The best of a bad set of forward numbers: 48.4 per cent of the expected goals, 41st percentile, and 49.6 per cent of the shot attempts, 53rd, across nearly 1,100 minutes.

7 points in his last 10, 4 of them goals. He is 26, and a 20-goal winger who breaks even on the shot clock is a perfectly good third piece on a good team. Calgary is not one, and that is the entire difficulty with assessing anybody here.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,094 minutes

Expected goals
48.4%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.9%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 48 against. Expected: 44.8 and 47.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
23rd
Numbers
41st

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
50th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.89 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.63 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.7 mph
42nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 3 assists, 21 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1094 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CGY took 47.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 1.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,094 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nazem Kadri51.4%45.3%50.1%
Yegor Sharangovich46.5%49.6%43.5%
Kevin Bahl43.5%51.0%44.8%

51.4% together, 45.3% for him apart and 50.1% for Kadri apart. He was worse away from Kadri, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kadri did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

196 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.