Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Jake Evans

Montreal Canadiens Center

36 points and 3 shorthanded goals from a checking centre, and 10 penalty minutes across 82 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20MTL13213+100001414.310:21
2020-21MTL4731013+229010555.511:50
2021-22MTL72131629-52200012410.515:36
2022-23MTL5421719-528100553.614:29
2023-24MTL8272128-124011818.616:01
2024-25MTL82132336+1100358016.315:33
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—3504088128-71131564099.814:49

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 23 assists in 82 games for 36 points, plus-1, on 15:33 a night with 3 shorthanded goals and 5 game-winners.

48.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 38th percentile, in the hardest defensive minutes on the club. 16.3 per cent shooting on 80 attempts is a career-high rate on a low volume.

10 penalty minutes across 82 games.

The Finesse Game

Modest and well-directed. 80 shots in 82 games is a very low volume and 13 goals from it is a high conversion that will not repeat.

23 assists is the useful half. He reads a breakout as well as any forward on the roster and the 3 shorthanded goals come from that rather than from speed.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 190, and honest. He wins pucks below the goal line, blocks shots, and takes defensive-zone draws against the other club’s best line.

10 penalty minutes in 82 games on a club that led the league in shorthanded minutes is the most useful line in his record.

The Intangibles

A seventh-round pick, eight seasons in one organisation, and a career built entirely on being trusted.

At 29 the projection is 25 points and the same defensive reliability. The 13 goals were a bonus and the club should not plan on them.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.12 penalty minutes a game over 82, 5th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    31% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 5th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins pucks below the goal line, blocks shots, and takes defensive-zone draws against the other club's best line.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He wins pucks below the goal line, blocks shots, and takes defensive-zone draws against the other club's best line.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “takes defensive-zone draws against the other club's best line”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He reads a breakout as well as any forward on the roster and the 3 shorthanded goals come from that rather than from speed.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “At 29 the projection is 25 points and the same defensive reliability.”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “10 penalty minutes in 82 games on a club that led the league in shorthanded minutes is the most useful line in his record.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 948 minutes

Expected goals
48.4%
38th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.3%
36th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 44 against. Expected: 37.3 and 39.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
38th

The report ranks him 28 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.07 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.48 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
79.9 mph
19th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 948 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MTL took 48.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 0.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 948 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Joel Armia45.8%51.5%42.1%
Emil Heineman49.2%48.0%45.6%
Lane Hutson49.4%48.0%52.8%

45.8% together, 51.5% for him apart and 42.1% for Armia apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Armia behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

126 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.