Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

51

Emil Heineman

New York Islanders Left Wing

Acquired from Montreal in the Noah Dobson trade, with 10 goals in 62 games at eleven minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24MTL4000+200000—9:57
2024-25MTL6210818-6203006415.611:24
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—6610818-4203006415.611:19

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

62 games with Montreal, 10 goals and 8 assists for 18 points at 11:24 a night, on 64 shots at 15.63 per cent. 20 penalty minutes. Minus-6. He came to the Islanders in June as part of the return for Noah Dobson.

Ten goals on 64 shots at eleven minutes a night is a good rate on very little ice time, and the conversion percentage is high enough that it should be read with caution.

The Finesse Game

The release is quick and he shoots without hesitating, which is the most marketable thing about him — a fourth- line winger who scores ten goals in eleven minutes is doing something the roster needs.

The playmaking is limited: 8 assists in 62 games. He goes north with the puck and he does not hold it to make a play, and at 23 that is as likely to be coaching as it is to be ceiling.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 204 and he forechecks hard and finishes checks. He is willing on the wall and does not get moved off a puck easily.

20 penalty minutes in 62 games is a reasonable rate, and on a club whose penalty kill finished 25th it matters more than usual.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, traded twice before 24 — first in the Tyler Toffoli deal, then as part of the price of a top-four defenceman.

He is 23 and cheap and he arrived on a club with room in its bottom six. Being the secondary piece in a trade made for draft picks is the cheapest kind of opportunity there is, and it is the kind most likely to be taken.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-2 and 204 and he forechecks hard and finishes checks.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “he forechecks hard”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He is willing on the wall”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “does not get moved off a puck easily”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The playmaking is limited: 8 assists in 62 games. He goes north with the puck and he does not hold it to make a play”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 652 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
33rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.1%
44th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 27 against. Expected: 22.2 and 24.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
13th
Numbers
33rd

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 62 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
82nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.24 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.89 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.8 mph
83rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with MTL · 652 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MTL took 48.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 652 minutes at five-on-five — 25th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Joel Armia49.1%45.9%41.2%
Jake Evans49.2%45.6%48.0%
Lane Hutson53.6%45.0%52.1%

49.1% together, 45.9% for him apart and 41.2% for Armia apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

112 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.