Josh Bailey
New York Islanders Right Wing
Fewer penalties drawn per 60 than any of the 393 qualified forwards, the 4th-least ground covered of 365, and 993 games for one club.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-09 | NYI | 68 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -14 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 9.5 | 15:29 |
| 2009-10 | NYI | 73 | 16 | 19 | 35 | +5 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 112 | 14.3 | 15:09 |
| 2010-11 | NYI | 70 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -13 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 102 | 10.8 | 17:50 |
| 2011-12 | NYI | 80 | 13 | 19 | 32 | -10 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 104 | 12.5 | 15:13 |
| 2012-13 | NYI | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 14.5 | 16:23 |
| 2013-14 | NYI | 77 | 8 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 98 | 8.2 | 15:50 |
| 2014-15 | NYI | 70 | 15 | 26 | 41 | +3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 10.7 | 16:47 |
| 2015-16 | NYI | 81 | 12 | 20 | 32 | -7 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 105 | 11.4 | 15:51 |
| 2016-17 | NYI | 82 | 13 | 43 | 56 | +5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 7.5 | 18:22 |
| 2017-18 | NYI | 76 | 18 | 53 | 71 | -20 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 151 | 11.9 | 17:53 |
| 2018-19 | NYI | 82 | 16 | 40 | 56 | +8 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 126 | 12.7 | 16:50 |
| 2019-20 | NYI | 68 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 94 | 14.9 | 16:54 |
| 2020-21 | NYI | 54 | 8 | 27 | 35 | +12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 10.4 | 17:30 |
| 2021-22 | NYI | 74 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 16.1 | 16:53 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 993 | 176 | 379 | 555 | -51 | 239 | 34 | 6 | 22 | 1519 | 11.6 | 16:38 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
74 games, 14 goals and 30 assists for 44 points at 16:53 a night, minus-7, six penalty minutes, 87 shots. Ninth overall in 2008, fourteen seasons, 993 games, all of them for this club.
The Finesse Game
Thirty assists against fourteen goals, and 379 career assists against 176 goals across fourteen seasons — he sets it up and lets somebody else finish.
4.18 shots per 60 is the 3rd percentile among forwards and eighty-seven shots produced fourteen goals at 16.1 per cent, the 88th. Sixty-five per cent of them came from the slot at a 21-foot median — he shoots rarely and only from good places.
1.88 even-strength points per 60 is the 55th percentile and twenty-five per cent of his points came on the power play.
44.0 per cent of the expected goals is the 11th percentile and 43.0 per cent of the attempts the 16th-lowest of 393 forwards, on 50.3 per cent offensive-zone starts — dead level, the 334th of 652 skaters. That is ordinary deployment and one of the twenty worst possession results in the league out of it.
His ice went 41-40 against an expectation of 36.22-46.05 — five goals of surplus going forward and six fewer against than the model asked, and the second of those is the crease behind him.
The Physical Game
0.91 hits per 60 is the 4th percentile and 1.25 blocks the 27th. Six penalty minutes across seventy-four games.
0.10 penalties drawn per 60 is the fewest of all 393 forwards who played forty games. Nobody in the league was fouled less often. Against 0.14 taken — the 2nd percentile — this is the most frictionless season any forward had.
The Intangibles
8.68 miles per 60 is the 4th-least of the 365 forwards the tracking covers. 0.7 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 5th-fewest. 21.6 mph is the 9th percentile.
Three separate measurements put him among the five least mobile forwards in hockey, and the penalty and hit rates say the same thing from a different direction.
He is 33 with 993 games for one franchise and 555 points. The assist record is real and long, and everything about how he now moves, competes for a puck or is competed against reads at the bottom of the league. Forty-four points is a good return on that; the attempt share is what it costs.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
65.2% of his attempts in the slot, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
- disciplined· stays out of the box
0.08 penalty minutes a game over 74, 1st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
“Thirty assists against fourteen goals, and 379 career assists against 176 goals across fourteen seasons — he sets it up and lets somebody else finish.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,050 minutes
- Expected goals
- 44%
- 14th pct
- Shot attempts
- 43%
- 6th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 40 against. Expected: 36.2 and 46.0.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 45 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 74 games
- Top speed
- 21.6 mph
- 28th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.19 a game
- Distance
- 2.44 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.1 mph
- 60th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 1038 minutes at five-on-five
- Anders Lee32%
- Brock Nelson30%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- NYI took 46.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.0% — 2.9 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,050 minutes at five-on-five — 68th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pelech | 45.3% | 43.3% | 53.5% |
| Anders Lee | 48.6% | 41.5% | 45.2% |
| Mathew Barzal | 48.4% | 41.9% | 48.1% |
45.3% together, 43.3% for him apart and 53.5% for Pelech apart. Pelech was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
112 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.