Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 3.0

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

New York Islanders Center #44

4 penalty minutes in 74 games, and half his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13OTT9224+300021414.311:30
2013-14OTT28202-512000316.510:15
2014-15OTT5010919+490229710.314:11
2015-16OTT82192443+172617213314.316:42
2016-17OTT82122133+13240021697.116:08
2017-18OTT78141529-14361121479.516:44
2018-19OTT394812-1214000834.817:51
2019-20OTT/NYI67261642+44953515117.219:10
2020-21NYI54141428+10105238117.316:47
2021-22NYI7718213903041012614.317:40
2022-23NYI70132740-21453212310.617:37
2023-24NYI82112233-81311210110.915:55
2024-25NYI79142842+42321112011.717:00
2025-26NYI74171835040348121.015:40
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—871176225401+14264242427145712.116:31

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 18 assists in 74 games — 35 points, even in plus-minus, at 15:40 a night with 4 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

The shot chart is excellent. 54 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, median 17, and 17 goals came from only 81 shots on goal — a very high conversion earned from very good ice.

18 assists is ordinary. He is a checking centre who scores because he goes to the net rather than because he creates.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 180 pounds, and 4 penalty minutes across 74 games is one of the lowest rates in this edition for a player taking defensive-zone draws all night.

He is never out of position, so he is never obliged to grab. That is the whole discipline of the role.

The Intangibles

46.7 per cent of the expected goals, 25th percentile, with the goals 33-39 against across 915 minutes — on a club that finished 28th in expected goals against and last on the penalty kill, where he plays most.

401 points in 871 games. He is 34, a fourth-round pick, and has spent a career being the third centre a good team wants and a bad team overuses.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.05 penalty minutes a game over 74, 1st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 915 minutes

Expected goals
46.7%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.6%
23rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 39 against. Expected: 36.7 and 41.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
55th
Numbers
26th

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 74 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
42nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.47 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.49 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.7 mph
29th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 2 assists, 13 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 915 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
NYI took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.7% — 1.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 915 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Simon Holmstrom47.4%45.9%50.7%
Anders Lee50.7%42.0%51.8%
Matthew Schaefer47.7%46.0%52.0%

47.4% together, 45.9% for him apart and 50.7% for Holmstrom apart. Holmstrom was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

122 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.