Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

44

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

New York Islanders Center

Twenty career shorthanded goals in 718 games, second in this edition behind Brad Marchand.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13OTT9224+300021414.311:30
2013-14OTT28202-512000316.510:15
2014-15OTT5010919+490229710.314:11
2015-16OTT82192443+172617213314.316:42
2016-17OTT82122133+13240021697.116:08
2017-18OTT78141529-14361121479.516:44
2018-19OTT394812-1214000834.817:51
2019-20OTT/NYI67261642+44953515117.219:10
2020-21NYI54141428+10105238117.316:47
2021-22NYI7718213903041012614.317:40
2022-23NYI70132740-21453212310.617:37
2023-24NYI82112233-81311210110.915:55
2024-25 so far
Career718145179324+10237222022125611.516:33

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 11 goals and 22 assists for 33 points, 1 shorthanded, 13 penalty minutes, 15:55 a night and minus-8. He took 44.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,009 minutes, the 19th percentile, and his ice went 34-43 against an expectation of 34.11-42.43.

Level at both ends — his line got precisely what the chances were worth, which on a 19th-percentile assignment means a minus-8. That percentile is the checking job on a club that was outshot by all but seven others.

The Finesse Game

141 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 55 per cent from inside 20, 101 on goal, converted at 10.9 per cent against a career 11.54.

179 career assists in 718 games. He shoots from close in and there is nothing else; thirty-three points from this assignment is a good return. The offence has never been the point.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 180 and defends by taking away the passing lane rather than the man.

237 career penalty minutes in 718 games is a low rate. He takes the defensive-zone draw, blocks shots, and kills penalties with 20 career shorthanded goals in 718 games — second in this edition behind Brad Marchand.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2011 out of Ottawa, twelve seasons across two organisations, and 324 points in 718 games.

He is 31 and 180 pounds and has taken the hardest forward assignment on two clubs for a decade. Twenty shorthanded goals is not a fluke of accumulation; it is what pressuring a point for twelve years looks like.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,009 minutes

Expected goals
44.6%
19th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.3%
5th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 43 against. Expected: 34.1 and 42.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
19th

The report ranks him 61 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1009 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYI took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 1,009 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Simon Holmstrom39.3%48.6%46.8%
Anders Lee53.3%38.3%53.6%
Alexander Romanov41.5%46.4%50.6%

39.3% together, 48.6% for him apart and 46.8% for Holmstrom apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.