Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

44

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

New York Islanders Center

51 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet at 33, 42 points, and the defensive centre on a penalty kill that finished 31st.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13OTT9224+300021414.311:30
2013-14OTT28202-512000316.510:15
2014-15OTT5010919+490229710.314:11
2015-16OTT82192443+172617213314.316:42
2016-17OTT82122133+13240021697.116:08
2017-18OTT78141529-14361121479.516:44
2018-19OTT394812-1214000834.817:51
2019-20OTT/NYI67261642+44953515117.219:10
2020-21NYI54141428+10105238117.316:47
2021-22NYI7718213903041012614.317:40
2022-23NYI70132740-21453212310.617:37
2023-24NYI82112233-81311210110.915:55
2024-25NYI79142842+42321112011.717:00
2025-26 so far
Career797159207366+14260242123137611.616:36

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games, 14 goals and 28 assists for 42 points at 17:00 a night, on 120 shots at 11.67 per cent. 23 penalty minutes. Plus-4.

A 52.1 per cent chance share is the second-best among the club’s forwards, and the on-ice goals were 32-44 against an expected 43.48-40.01 — eleven short at one end and four extra at the other. A fifteen-goal swing against a checking centre who was controlling the run of play.

The Finesse Game

51 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 19, which for a defensive centre is an unusually interior profile and the reason 42 points is possible on this ice time.

The faceoff work is genuinely good and the passing is better than the role advertises — 28 assists from a third-line centre on a club that scored 215 goals. He does not carry the puck through anybody and he does not need to.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 180 pounds and he plays a much heavier game than the frame suggests — he finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line against bigger men, and he takes the punishment that comes with going to the net.

23 penalty minutes in 79 games doing the hardest defensive work on the roster is a very good rate.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick, thirteen NHL seasons, and a run of playoff scoring in Ottawa that nobody expected and nobody has forgotten.

He is 33 and does the specific job that this club could not do last season — the penalty kill finished 31st in the league with him on it, which is the one number on this page that does not fit the rest.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 990 minutes

Expected goals
52.1%
72nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.6%
79th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 44 against. Expected: 43.5 and 40.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
31st
Numbers
72nd

The numbers rank him 41 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 990 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.1% — 2.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 990 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Anders Lee53.2%50.6%49.5%
Simon Holmstrom52.1%52.1%47.7%
Ryan Pulock42.6%56.3%46.3%

53.2% together, 50.6% for him apart and 49.5% for Lee apart. Lee was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Lee than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

176 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.