Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

96

Jake Walman

Edmonton Oilers Defense

40 points and a 47.8 per cent chance share, and the most expensive deadline defenceman of the year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20STL1000+1000010.011:04
2020-21STL24112-78000472.114:28
2021-22STL/DET513710-310000873.514:02
2022-23DET639918+10450021406.419:43
2023-24DET6312921-24410310811.119:46
2024-25SJS/EDM6573340+4420011644.322:47
2025-26 so far
Career267325991+31491065475.918:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 33 assists in 65 games for 40 points, plus-4, on 22:47 a night between San Jose and Edmonton.

47.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 30th percentile — the worst share of any Edmonton defenceman by six points — over 1,122 minutes, with on-ice goals of 42-61 against an expected 46-51. Most of that came on a very bad San Jose club and it is still the number to hold onto.

The Finesse Game

The skating and the puck-carrying are genuinely good. He leaves his own zone under control, joins a rush as a fourth attacker, and 33 assists is a real total for a defenceman on the clubs he played for.

164 shots and 7 goals; the release is decent without being a weapon. The decision-making is the weak half — he attempts the difficult play and the errors happen in dangerous places, which is how a defenceman with these tools posts a 30th-percentile share.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 218, and he is willing without being a shutdown presence. He takes contact, finishes some checks, and does not clear a crease reliably.

42 penalty minutes over 65 games is a moderate rate. The durability has been reasonable.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick, four organisations, a breakout at 28 on a last-place club, and a deadline trade that cost a first-round pick.

Edmonton needed a left-shot defenceman who could move a puck and paid a contender’s price for one. The 30th-percentile share is the thing to watch: on a club where every other defenceman is above the 80th, being at the 30th is not a context problem.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,122 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
30th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50%
53rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 61 against. Expected: 46.4 and 50.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
56th
Numbers
30th

The report ranks him 26 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 337 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with SJS · 862 minutes at five-on-five

  • Cody Cecinow LAK63%
  • Henry Thrunnow TOR10%
  • Timothy Liljegren8%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 6.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
1,122 minutes at five-on-five — 78th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Cody Ceci43.0%52.7%39.6%
Fabian Zetterlund40.2%50.5%46.2%
William Eklund53.9%46.2%48.1%

43.0% together, 52.7% for him apart and 39.6% for Ceci apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Ceci behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

236 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.