This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Fabian Zetterlund
Ottawa Senators Left Wing
Nineteen goals across San Jose and Ottawa, with the worst chance share of any forward in this chapter.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | NJD | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 8.3 | 13:21 |
| 2022-23 | NJD/SJS | 67 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 5.1 | 13:15 |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 82 | 24 | 20 | 44 | -34 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 11.8 | 18:51 |
| 2024-25 | SJS/OTT | 84 | 19 | 22 | 41 | +7 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 10.5 | 16:21 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 247 | 52 | 64 | 116 | -28 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 539 | 9.7 | 16:10 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
19 goals and 22 assists in 84 games across two clubs — 41 points at 16:21 a night, plus-7, on 181 shots.
44.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 12th percentile — the worst mark of any forward on this roster. His ice went 43-51 against an expectation of 41.01-50.99, which says the results were honest and the underlying play was poor.
The Finesse Game
181 attempts at a median of 31 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20, converting at 10.5 per cent. The shot is the best thing he does and it is a heavy, quick release from the top of the circle.
The passing is limited. 22 assists in 84 games is a winger who is a finishing option rather than a creating one, and he needs a centre who will find him.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 208, which is a thick, low centre of gravity, and he plays to it. He is hard to move off a puck on the wall and he initiates contact on the forecheck.
14 penalty minutes in 84 games is remarkable for a player who plays that way. He does not retaliate and he does not take the foul after he is beaten.
The Intangibles
A third-round pick of New Jersey in 2017 who has now been traded twice — to San Jose in 2023 and to Ottawa at the deadline in March.
247 games and 116 points, and a 24-goal season in San Jose that got him moved. He is 26 and this is the first playoff club he has been on.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,136 minutes
- Expected goals
- 44.6%
- 13th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45%
- 11th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 51 against. Expected: 41.0 and 51.0.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 with SJS · 926 minutes at five-on-five
- Will Smith32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- OTT took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 5.6 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 1,136 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund | 37.0% | 49.0% | 46.2% |
| Will Smith | 45.0% | 44.4% | 45.7% |
| Cody Ceci | 40.8% | 46.2% | 40.9% |
37.0% together, 49.0% for him apart and 46.2% for Granlund apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
273 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.