Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jake Walman

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jake Walman

Edmonton Oilers Defense #96

A skating, shooting, slightly reckless defenseman who was a spare part on 3 teams before anyone noticed how good he had gotten.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20STL1000+1000010.011:04
2020-21STL24112-78000472.114:28
2021-22STL/DET513710-310000873.514:02
2022-23DET639918+10450021406.419:43
2023-24DET6312921-24410310811.119:46
2024-25SJS/EDM6573340+4420011644.322:47
2025-26EDM5381220-1710121968.318:45
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—3204071111-141592276436.218:52

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 20 points in 53 games, on just under 19 minutes a night. The minus-17 is ugly and is partly inherited: he has spent most of his career on teams that were outshot every night.

The Finesse Game

He skates beautifully. Long, easy strides, real top speed for a defenseman, and the ability to carry the puck out of trouble rather than pass out of it — he will take the puck end to end two or three times a game and it does not look forced when he does.

The shot is heavy and he gets it through. 8 goals from the back end in 53 games is a genuine rate, and it comes from a willingness to walk the line and find a lane rather than firing blindly into shin pads.

The reads are good rather than perfect. He joins the rush aggressively, and the judgment about when to go has improved a great deal over the last 3 seasons without becoming conservative.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 218, and he is stronger than he looks. He defends the rush with his feet, closes gaps well, and is willing to finish a check, though nobody would call him punishing. He has an edge to him that occasionally spills over into the sort of penalty that makes a bench sigh.

The Intangibles

He was a third-round pick who took the long route — St. Louis, Detroit, San Jose — and arrived here as a legitimate top-4 defenseman at an age when most players have stopped improving. That is unusual and speaks well of him.

The reservation is defensive consistency. He will lose a coverage in his own end, and the same aggression that produces his offense is what produces the goal against. On this roster that is a trade the club is happy to make.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    5 of 92 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 5.4%, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.19 penalty minutes a game over 53, 5th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 892 minutes

Expected goals
45.4%
18th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.1%
37th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 52 against. Expected: 35.8 and 43.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
82nd
Numbers
18th

The report ranks him 64 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 53 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
98th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.53 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.67 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
102.0 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

2

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 2 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 892 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.4% — 6.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 892 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Darnell Nurse46.4%44.5%50.3%
Jack Roslovic45.4%45.4%53.7%
Vasily Podkolzin45.4%45.4%54.2%

46.4% together, 44.5% for him apart and 50.3% for Nurse apart. Nurse was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

130 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.