This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Luke Evangelista
Nashville Predators Right Wing
The best chance share of any forward on the club at 52 per cent, 32 points in fourteen minutes a night, and still waiting for the ice time.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | NSH | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 | +7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 13.0 | 16:34 |
| 2023-24 | NSH | 80 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 9.3 | 13:57 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 68 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 134 | 7.5 | 13:52 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 172 | 33 | 53 | 86 | +5 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 360 | 9.2 | 14:17 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
68 games, 10 goals and 22 assists for 32 points at 13:52 a night — the lightest workload of any forward here who reached 30 points. 134 shots at 7.46 per cent. 22 penalty minutes. Minus-2.
A 52 per cent chance share is the best among the club’s forwards, and the on-ice goals were 22-29 against an expected 29.13-26.85. He tilted the ice and was outscored for it. Nothing in the season suggests he was part of the problem, and a fair amount of it suggests he should have been playing more than fourteen minutes.
The Finesse Game
The best pure passer in the club’s young group. He holds the puck an extra beat on the wall, delays, and finds the seam rather than the safe outlet — a rarer instinct than it sounds at 23.
34 per cent of his shots come from inside 20 feet at a median of 29, so he is willing to go inside without living there. The shot is the limitation: 7.46 per cent on 134 attempts is a release a goaltender sees coming, and until that changes he is a complementary scorer rather than a driver of a line.
The Physical Game
183 pounds and not physically imposing, and the puck comes off him when a defenceman commits to taking it. 22 penalty minutes.
He goes to the hard areas willingly. He is not always able to stay in them, and that is the difference between fourteen minutes and eighteen.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick who has produced at a fourth-line assignment for two seasons running.
He is 24, he is cheap, and he posted better underlying numbers than every forward this club paid for last summer. That is either an argument for promoting him or evidence that the number came from playing against fourth lines. The club has spent two years not deciding which.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 796 minutes
- Expected goals
- 52%
- 71st pct
- Shot attempts
- 54.4%
- 90th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 22 for, 29 against. Expected: 29.1 and 26.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 59 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 796 minutes at five-on-five
- Thomas Novaknow PIT33%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- NSH took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.0% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 796 minutes at five-on-five — 35th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Novak | 54.4% | 50.8% | 54.3% |
| Brady Skjei | 46.8% | 54.6% | 46.9% |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 54.3% | 51.0% | 47.8% |
54.4% together, 50.8% for him apart and 54.3% for Novak apart. He was worse away from Novak, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Novak did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
167 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.