Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

74

Jake DeBrusk

Vancouver Canucks Left Wing

Fifty-nine per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet, 28 goals, and fourteen of them on the power play.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18BOS70162743+131920514311.214:22
2018-19BOS68271542+21880415617.316:10
2019-20BOS65191635-11470516111.816:03
2020-21BOS415914+16201925.414:54
2021-22BOS77251742+61030818413.615:02
2022-23BOS64272350+261660619114.116:47
2023-24BOS80192140+41822318310.416:50
2024-25VAN82282048-1518140417116.416:39
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—547166148314+3611944236128113.015:55

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

28 goals and 20 assists in 82 games — 48 points at 16:39 a night, minus-15, with 14 power-play goals, 4 game-winners and 18 penalty minutes on 171 shots, converting at 16.4 per cent.

48.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 28th percentile. His ice went 43-44 against an expectation of 35.77-38.81 — three goals better than expected for and eight worse against.

The Finesse Game

171 attempts at a median of 16 feet with 59 per cent from inside 20 feet and only 12 per cent from beyond 40 — among the least perimeter shot profiles in this edition. He scores from the paint and nowhere else, and 14 of his 28 goals came on the power play standing in front of the goaltender.

20 assists in 82 games. There is little creation; he is a finisher who needs a line that will find him.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 198 and honest without being heavy. He goes to the front of the net and takes the punishment that comes with a 16-foot median shot, and he does not initiate much beyond that.

18 penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate. He does not retaliate and he does not go looking for anything after the whistle.

The Intangibles

Fourteenth overall in 2015 and 547 games and 314 points, seven seasons of it in Boston, where he was traded to and from more than once without ever leaving.

He is 29 and Vancouver signed him as a free agent in the summer of 2024 on a seven-year contract. Twenty-eight goals in the first year of it is roughly what the club paid for.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    68.1% of his attempts in the slot, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He scores from the paint and nowhere else, and **14 of his 28 goals came on the power play** standing in front of the goaltender.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “There is little creation; he is a finisher who needs a line that will find him.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not retaliate and he does not go looking for anything after the whistle.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,032 minutes

Expected goals
48%
35th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.5%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 44 against. Expected: 35.8 and 38.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
35th

The report ranks him 25 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
74th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.71 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.75 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.2 mph
45th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1032 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
VAN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.0% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,032 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Elias Pettersson46.1%49.6%54.6%
Brock Boeser50.0%46.5%45.9%
Quinn Hughes56.8%41.7%53.1%

46.1% together, 49.6% for him apart and 54.6% for Pettersson apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

232 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 59% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.