Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Hendrix Lapierre

Washington Capitals Center

Eight goals in 51 games at 22, from a first-round pick.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22WSH6101+22000714.39:35
2023-24WSH5181422-140015115.711:26
2024-25 so far
Career5791423+160015815.511:14

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

51 games, 8 goals and 14 assists for 22 points, 4 penalty minutes, 11:26 a night and minus-1, with 1 game-winner. He took 44.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 523 minutes, the 16th percentile, and his ice went 21-22 against an expectation of 17.26-21.87.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Twenty-two points in 51 games at eleven and a half minutes a night is a better rate than the ice suggests.

The Finesse Game

76 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 37 per cent of them from inside twenty and 25 per cent from beyond forty, 49 of those on goal, converted at 15.7 per cent against a career 15.52 across 58 shots.

Nine career goals and 14 assists in 57 games. Fourteen assists in 51 games from a fourth-line centre is the number that matters; he sees the ice a beat earlier than the men around him and the shot is a secondary tool.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 195 and took 4 penalty minutes in 51 games.

Six career penalty minutes in 57 games. He is an ordinary size and plays a positional game rather than a physical one; four penalty minutes across 51 games is either exceptional discipline or a forward who never engages.

The Intangibles

Twenty-second overall in 2020 by Washington, two seasons, one organisation, and 23 points in 57 games.

A career plus-1 in 57 games. He is 22, he was a first-round pick by this club, and 22 points in 51 games is the first real evidence that the pick was right.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 523 minutes

Expected goals
44.1%
16th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.9%
22nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 22 against. Expected: 17.3 and 21.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
16th

The report ranks him 68 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 523 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WSH took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.1% — 3.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 523 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sonny Milano49.9%41.2%51.8%
John Carlson49.9%41.0%47.4%
Nick Jensen36.1%47.2%46.2%

49.9% together, 41.2% for him apart and 51.8% for Milano apart. He was worse away from Milano, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Milano did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

76 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.