This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | WSH | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14.3 | 9:35 |
| 2023-24 | WSH | 51 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 15.7 | 11:26 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 57 | 9 | 14 | 23 | +1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 15.5 | 11:14 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
51 games, 8 goals and 14 assists for 22 points, 4 penalty minutes, 11:26 a night and minus-1, with 1 game-winner. He took 44.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 523 minutes, the 16th percentile, and his ice went 21-22 against an expectation of 17.26-21.87.
Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Twenty-two points in 51 games at eleven and a half minutes a night is a better rate than the ice suggests.
The Finesse Game
76 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 37 per cent of them from inside twenty and 25 per cent from beyond forty, 49 of those on goal, converted at 15.7 per cent against a career 15.52 across 58 shots.
Nine career goals and 14 assists in 57 games. Fourteen assists in 51 games from a fourth-line centre is the number that matters; he sees the ice a beat earlier than the men around him and the shot is a secondary tool.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 195 and took 4 penalty minutes in 51 games.
Six career penalty minutes in 57 games. He is an ordinary size and plays a positional game rather than a physical one; four penalty minutes across 51 games is either exceptional discipline or a forward who never engages.
The Intangibles
Twenty-second overall in 2020 by Washington, two seasons, one organisation, and 23 points in 57 games.
A career plus-1 in 57 games. He is 22, he was a first-round pick by this club, and 22 points in 51 games is the first real evidence that the pick was right.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- disciplined· stays out of the box
0.08 penalty minutes a game over 51, 2nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“Fourteen assists in 51 games from a fourth-line centre is the number that matters; he sees the ice a beat earlier than the men around him and the shot is a secondary tool.”
“He is an ordinary size and plays a positional game rather than a physical one; four penalty minutes across 51 games is either exceptional discipline or a forward who never engages.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 523 minutes
- Expected goals
- 44.1%
- 16th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.9%
- 22nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 22 against. Expected: 17.3 and 21.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 68 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 51 games
- Top speed
- 22.6 mph
- 70th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.96 a game
- Distance
- 1.98 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 84.0 mph
- 33rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 523 minutes at five-on-five
- Sonny Milano34%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- WSH took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.1% — 3.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 523 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Milano | 49.9% | 41.2% | 51.8% |
| John Carlson | 49.9% | 41.0% | 47.4% |
| Nick Jensen | 36.1% | 47.2% | 46.2% |
49.9% together, 41.2% for him apart and 51.8% for Milano apart. He was worse away from Milano, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Milano did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
76 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.