Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Aliaksei Protas

Washington Capitals Left Wing

Six-six and 250 pounds — the third-heaviest man in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22WSH33369+40000348.811:50
2022-23WSH5841115-812000834.811:31
2023-24WSH7862329-380011135.313:45
2024-25 so far
Career169134053-7200012305.712:37

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

78 games, 6 goals and 23 assists for 29 points, 8 penalty minutes, 13:45 a night and minus-3, with 1 game-winner. He took 50.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 964 minutes, the 58th percentile, and his ice went 42-42 against an expectation of 40.24-39.08.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and three more conceded than they called for. Twenty-nine points is a career high by fourteen and 8 penalty minutes at that size is the strangest number on the club.

The Finesse Game

161 attempts at a median of 22 feet with 46 per cent of them from inside twenty and 17 per cent from beyond forty, 108 of those on goal, converted at 5.3 per cent against a career 5.65 across 230 shots.

Forty career assists against 13 goals in 169 games. He gets to the inside constantly and cannot finish from there — a career 5.65 per cent across two hundred and thirty shots is a very low rate for a man who shoots from twenty-two feet — and the passing is what has kept him in the lineup.

The Physical Game

He is 6-6 and 250 — the third-heaviest man in this edition — and took 8 penalty minutes in 78 games.

Twenty career penalty minutes in 169 games. Eight penalty minutes in a full season at 6-6 and 250 pounds is remarkable; he holds position in front of the net and protects the puck with his frame without ever crossing into anything a referee notices.

The Intangibles

Ninety-first overall in 2019 by Washington, three seasons, one organisation, and 53 points in 169 games.

A career minus-7 in 169 games. He is 23, he was a third-round pick by this club, and he is the largest forward on a roster that badly needs somebody to stand in front of a goaltender.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 964 minutes

Expected goals
50.7%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.7%
43rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 42 against. Expected: 40.2 and 39.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
59th

The report ranks him 31 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 964 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WSH took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.7% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 964 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor McMichael51.8%49.7%43.2%
Anthony Mantha52.5%49.3%56.3%
John Carlson53.1%49.3%46.1%

51.8% together, 49.7% for him apart and 43.2% for McMichael apart. McMichael was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for McMichael than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

161 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.