Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

89

Frederick Gaudreau

Minnesota Wild Center

Undrafted, 328 games, and on the ice for 16 goals and 35 against.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17NSH9011+1000080.08:40
2017-18NSH2003302000140.09:10
2018-19NSH55314+12001437.09:01
2020-21PIT192810+1020002010.013:04
2021-22MIN76143044+12810413210.616:19
2022-23MIN82191938+101034313813.816:03
2023-24MIN6751015-23122011054.813:57
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—3284372115+11366494609.313:42

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

67 games, 5 goals and 10 assists for 15 points, 2 on the power play, 12 penalty minutes, 13:57 a night and minus-23. He took 46.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 741 minutes, the 28th percentile, and his ice went 16-35 against an expectation of 23.40-26.97.

Seven goals of scoring that did not arrive and eight more conceded than the chances called for. Both ends went wrong at once on the only regular line here that was outplayed, and the minus-23 is the worst figure on the roster.

The Finesse Game

138 attempts at a median of 32 feet with 20 per cent from inside 20, converted at 4.8 per cent against a career 9.35.

72 career assists in 328 games. Five goals on 105 shots is half his career rate and the shot profile says why — he is taking them from further out than he used to. He is a distributor on a line with nobody to distribute to.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 184 and defends with position rather than contact.

12 penalty minutes in 67 games is a very low rate. He takes the defensive-zone draw, blocks shots, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Bromont, seven seasons across three organisations, and 115 points in 328 games.

He is 31 and had by some distance the worst season of his career. Two years ago he was a thirty-eight-point third-line centre and the club needs that man back.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    31.2% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw, blocks shots, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw, blocks shots, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw, blocks shots, and kills penalties with 4 career shorthanded goals.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-0 and 184 and defends with position rather than contact.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of Bromont, seven seasons across three organisations, and 115 points in 328 games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 741 minutes

Expected goals
46.4%
28th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 35 against. Expected: 23.4 and 27.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
15th
Numbers
28th

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 67 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
42nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.99 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.26 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.9 mph
76th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 741 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MIN took 51.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.4% — 4.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 741 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marcus Foligno48.4%45.2%58.5%
Brock Faber46.5%46.4%51.1%
Pat Maroon43.8%47.6%47.2%

48.4% together, 45.2% for him apart and 58.5% for Foligno apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Foligno and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

138 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 20% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.