Armchair Hockey Scout

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2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

77

Filip Chytil

New York Rangers Center

Twenty-two goals and nine goals better than the chances at the attacking end, at twenty-three.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18NYR9123-54000214.813:37
2018-19NYR75111223-2283021338.313:47
2019-20NYR6014923-71010211412.314:50
2020-21NYR4281422+9100007610.513:14
2021-22NYR6781422-1140011355.913:11
2022-23NYR74222345+153030417712.414:41
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—3276474138-11767096569.813:59

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 23 assists in 74 games — 45 points — at 14:41 a night. Plus-15, 177 shots at 12.4 per cent, three on the power play, four game-winners, 30 penalty minutes.

Twenty-two goals is a career high by eight in his sixth season, at twenty-three.

50.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 53rd percentile, with his ice at 48-35 against an expectation of 38.99-38.77 — nine goals better than the chances at the attacking end and four better at the defensive, across 960 minutes.

He started 56.2 per cent of his shifts in the attacking zone, the 78th percentile.

Six seasons, 327 games, 138 points.

The Finesse Game

177 shots at a median of 23 feet, and an even split between the two useful ranges.

Inside twenty: 77 shots on goal and 11 goals, 14.29 per cent. From twenty to forty: 73 shots and 10 goals, 13.70 per cent, against a league forward rate of 11.05. Beyond forty: 22 shots and none.

The two rates are within six-tenths of a point of each other, which means the distance he shoots from barely changes the outcome — the same shape this book found in Jesper Bratt, and it belongs to the release rather than to the location.

132 wrist shots and 43 snap out of 243 tracked attempts, with 27 tip-ins and 27 backhands and only ten slap shots. 86.2 mph at the 18th percentile, which on ten slap shots is a measure of what he picks.

23 assists in seventy-four games. The passing is real and secondary.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 210, with 30 penalty minutes.

Top speed 22.9 mph, the 83rd percentile; 2.7 bursts a game, the 94th. 2.53 miles a game, the 45th.

Fast and frequently so, on ordinary mileage — which is fourteen minutes a night in short bursts. That is a third-line centre with first-line speed.

He forechecks at pace and gets to loose pucks first, which is where a good part of the nine-goal surplus at the attacking end came from.

At 210 pounds he does not play heavy and is not asked to. The physical file is neutral and the club has never needed it to be otherwise.

The Intangibles

Twenty-first overall in 2017, and 327 games by twenty-three after a first NHL game at eighteen.

The point totals read 3, 23, 23, 22, 22 and 45. Five seasons of a young player being asked to wait, and then a sixth that looks different.

He is twenty-three, which given the debut age is easy to forget. The skating is near the top of the league, the finishing is at it from both ranges, and the honest question is whether a club with Zibanejad and Trocheck ahead of him ever gives him a shift that would prove more.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “Fast and frequently so, on ordinary mileage — which is fourteen minutes a night in short bursts.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks at pace and gets to loose pucks first, which is where a good part of the nine-goal surplus at the attacking end came from.”

  • punishingpresent and ordinary· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “At 210 pounds he does not play heavy and is not asked to.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 960 minutes

Expected goals
50.1%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.6%
58th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 35 against. Expected: 39.0 and 38.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
70th
Numbers
54th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 74 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.72 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.53 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.2 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 960 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
NYR took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
960 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexis Lafrenière49.3%51.9%48.6%
Kaapo Kakko51.7%47.4%49.8%
K'Andre Miller50.9%49.7%49.2%

49.3% together, 51.9% for him apart and 48.6% for Lafrenière apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.