Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Mattias Ekholm

Photo by Canada Hky, CC BY 3.0

Mattias Ekholm

Edmonton Oilers Defense #14

The defenseman who makes mistakes disappear — quietly, 20 minutes a night, against the other team's best.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12NSH2000-1000010.012:25
2012-13NSH1000-100000—16:05
2013-14NSH62189-810000581.716:49
2014-15NSH8071118+1252101868.119:01
2015-16NSH8282735+14441131147.020:15
2016-17NSH8232023+4340011202.523:28
2017-18NSH81102434+25465111357.423:35
2018-19NSH8083644+27472031465.523:22
2019-20NSH6882533-1320121545.223:22
2020-21NSH4861723+19140021105.522:52
2021-22NSH7662531+14440011454.123:29
2022-23NSH/EDM7892332+28280001356.721:29
2023-24EDM79113445+44472131776.221:03
2024-25EDM6592433+11303011436.322:12
2025-26EDM8263541+32300021314.620:36
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—96692309401+2194581442016555.621:39

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 41 points in all 82 games, and a plus-32 that led the team by a distance. 20 and a half minutes a night, most of them against people who are paid to score.

The Finesse Game

He moves the puck better than he gets credit for, mostly because everything he does is undramatic. The first pass is on time and on the tape. The exit is usually the simple one. When the simple one is not there he will skate the puck out himself rather than throw it away, which at his age is a quiet act of confidence.

He does not shoot much and does not need to. On the rare occasions he activates into the play, it is because he read it 2 seconds earlier and knows the ice will still be there when he arrives.

The skating is fine rather than fast. What separates him is gap control: he closes to the right distance at the right moment, so attackers reach the blue line with no room and no time, and the rush dies without a single spectacular play being made. Watch his side of the ice for a full period and it looks like nothing is happening there. That is the entire point of him.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 225, and he uses all of it correctly. He is strong on the wall, excellent along the goal line, and he ends cycles by simply removing the other team’s forward from the puck. None of it is violent. He does not hunt hits and has never needed to.

He is 36 with 966 games on his legs. Foot speed is the thing to watch — it is the first thing to go for a defenseman of this type, and when it goes, the gap control that makes him valuable goes with it.

The Intangibles

He is the partner who makes an aggressive, offense-first defenseman viable, which is no small matter on this roster: a good deal of Bouchard’s freedom exists because Ekholm is behind him cleaning up. Coaches trust him with the last minute of a 1-goal game and the first minute after a bad one.

For a player this central to how a team defends, he goes almost entirely unmentioned during games. That is usually the highest compliment available to a defenseman.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    18.5% of his attempts in the slot, 92nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    58.3% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +11.1, 99th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    61% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,462 minutes

Expected goals
58.3%
98th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.9%
93rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 84 for, 67 against. Expected: 81.3 and 58.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
97th
Numbers
98th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 83 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
72nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.37 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.96 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.4 mph
91st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 4 assists, 13 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1462 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.3% — 6.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,462 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Evan Bouchard58.4%57.3%56.5%
Connor McDavid60.9%54.0%51.7%
Zach Hyman61.8%55.9%48.7%

58.4% together, 57.3% for him apart and 56.5% for Bouchard apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

195 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 14% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 59% from beyond forty.