Photo by Cass, CC BY-SA 4.0
Mavrik Bourque
Nashville Predators Center #22
20 goals as a rookie, and the 91st percentile behind them.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | DAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 10:56 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 73 | 11 | 14 | 25 | +6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 13.8 | 12:41 |
| 2025-26 | DAL | 82 | 20 | 21 | 41 | +6 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 13.6 | 15:29 |
| 2026-27 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 156 | 31 | 35 | 66 | +12 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 13.5 | 14:09 |
This Season So Far
The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
20 goals and 21 assists in all 82 games — 41 points, plus-6, at 15:29 a night. His 5-on-5 work was done in Dallas, where he was on for 54.3 per cent of the expected goals, 84th percentile.
The Finesse Game
A skilled, clever forward who found the Dallas shot chart immediately: 43 per cent of his unblocked attempts from inside 20 feet, median 24, and 19 goals from 192 tries.
That is the club’s method — low volume, high quality — and he took to it faster than most rookies would. 21 assists says the playmaking that made him a 30th overall pick is real.
The Physical Game
5-11, 187, and light. 22 penalty minutes. He is not winning pucks by force and will need to find another way on a heavier roster.
The Intangibles
The chances ran 49.7 to 41.8 in his favour across 1,166 minutes, with the goals 50-47. Both halves agreed, which after this book’s last several 100 pages is worth noting on its own.
He is 24 and arrives in Nashville, which finished twentieth and 27th in expected goals, from a club that finished 25th and fourth. Those are opposite structures and the number will not travel intact.
What should travel is the shot selection. If he keeps taking them from 24 feet he is a 20-goal scorer anywhere.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
54.3% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 48.8% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.5, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,166 minutes
- Expected goals
- 54.3%
- 84th pct
- Shot attempts
- 52%
- 74th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 47 against. Expected: 49.7 and 41.8.
The eye and the numbers
SightedThe numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 46 points from the numbers; this one lands 29. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.
All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games
- Top speed
- 22.5 mph
- 62nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.45 a game
- Distance
- 2.44 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.7 mph
- 82nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.6
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Recent form
Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first
9
points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 3 assists, 21 shots
Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.
Usual linemates
2025-26 with DAL · 1166 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2025-26
- The club
- DAL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.3% — 3.8 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,166 minutes at five-on-five — 79th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 58.4% | 48.1% | 52.6% |
| Thomas Harley | 56.7% | 52.7% | 44.1% |
| Esa Lindell | 56.7% | 52.9% | 53.3% |
58.4% together, 48.1% for him apart and 52.6% for Robertson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
192 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.